Jagten

We are actually ~1st in most expected points tables.

this is an unintentionally perfect capture of mental health stigma

Time for MBS to start sending his phishing links again to Milan management.

To be fair, he's only reporting what's on the front page of Italy's largest sports paper about the largest sports story in Italy. I'd say it's not looking good.

The expected upside, given his likely price, is not hugely compelling. Really good player though.

Looks like Fagoli is agreeing a plea deal, and should have a sentence by the end of the week. Italian media think 10-18 months. https://sport.sky.it/calcio/serie-a/2023/10/16/calcio-scommesse-giocatori-news-oggi

We are second in Understat's expected points model FWIW (https://understat.com/league/EPL)

Willock is the best progressive carrier, with him and Joelinton different to Bruno with respect to how they might progress. We don't have anything like Bruno, both as a profile and talent ceiling. That said, given how good Bruno is he's not easy to replace.

Vast majority of them were corners iirc.

His profile is nothing like Bruno. His biggest asset is out-of-possession and if we swapped him for Bruno we'd lose most of our ball-progressing ability.

Because lots of people needlessly die after being hit by drivers using their phones.

Our best player by a margin. Good today.

They actually aren't that bad. They comfortably beat Luton on most expected goals models.

Your argument in support of Anderson is that he looked OK in a team that did well. I'm saying I don't think that means anything. The same is true of eg van de Beek.

This is not how you evaluate players or their profiles.

Probably skepticism over whether the second part is true. Personally, he seems like a decent progressive carrier but I'm not sure there's a huge amount else.

Legit but extremely early question to ask whether as his influence has grown (and they appointed his brother in senior scouting position) talent ID has got a bit worse.

I think he probably has an average-to-goodish talent ceiling, which is probably difficult for us to reason with given his polarising nature.

On individual games this is possible, but as an average over the season our luck was probably par. Results are mostly just noisy realisations of a random process. We're all just trying to work out what the underlying trend might be from a small sample size. I think there's stuff to be semi-concerned about, is all.

I assume you're not going to like this but an ensemble of public expected goals models suppose they should have scored 2.

They created a lot more good chances. We created none.

You can be happy with the result without reverse-engineering the performance, or giving anyone grief for discussing our issues in the game. It wasn't particularly close tonight and we should have been comfortably beaten.

Our total inability to create chances is v concerning.

True but we've created very few chances against our last 3 opponents.

Oof https://twitter.com/OptaAnalyst/status/1704188088858104268?t=FtDaMHXLqL9TeNLRbSLvww&s=19