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For us, the important thing is that AFCB and Norwich continue to flounder and the mackems/Villa get the same new manager bounce that we got.

 

The mackems have already had a better new manager bounce than we got :lol:

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I'm assuming this optimism, if thinking we might stay up can be classed as such, can only be based on the assumption that we experience an unprecedented turn in form (We`ve won three games all year). Whilst id love to share the sentiment, I cannot see this group having neither the skills, nor the spirit to mount a run of form to suggest such an upturn.

 

No, were fucked Imo, though I`d echo the sentiments of those who don't fear relegation as some catalyst to a Leeds-esq disaster.

 

You know, I don't go with the thinking that to be a successful club you have to challenge for the top honours year in-year out. No, you have to keep your punters happy, however that manifests itself.  I have no interest at all in the Champions league, I harbour no ambitions to win the premier league (A futile aspiration the way things stand), I would, however, like to see the club play good football & win their fare share of games against teams of a similar ilk & mebez a tin pot cup or jaunt around Europe once in a while. This team / set-up is eons away from that.

 

In the meantime, I`ll be happy going into the weekend optimistic of getting a result against lesser (Though at this present time arguably equivalent size) teams in the Championship & tuning in to Tuesday night for a bit of a midweek fix - the only downside being the lack of live telly.

 

& stick your Champions league theme, Alan fucking Parry, Mourinoio`s post match bore-fest & the subsequent felating from the southern hacks, Souness / Redknapp / Collymore & all the other fatuous parasites who populate the Sky / talksport ex-pros club where its dark & brown

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We'll lose tomorrow, draw at best. Bournemouth away is a certain defeat and we'll be looking f***ed again.

 

Battle between us, Villa, mackems, Bournemouth and Norwich.

 

We'll win tomorrow! Perkele!

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Was bored and American so decided see what the trend had been in recent times in terms of relegation chances after 10 games.

 

Caveats aside that of course the game isn't played on paper and stats are the devil's abacus: if you're in the bottom 3 after 10 games it's still close to a coin-flip: 24 of the 45 teams in the bottom three after 10 games (53%) over the last 15 years have gone on to be relegated.

 

 

 

Bold indicates a relegated team was in the bottom 3 after 10 games.

Year

Bottom 3 After 10 Games

Bottom 3 at season end

2014-15

Leicester, QPR, Burnley

Hull, Burnley, QPR

2013-14

Norwich, Sunderland, Crystal Palace

Norwich, Fulham, Cardiff City

2012-13

Reading, QPR, Southampton

Wigan, Reading, QPR

2011-12

Bolton, Blackburn, Wigan

Bolton, Blackburn, Wolves

2010-11

Blackburn, Wolves, West Ham

Birmingham City, Blackpool, West Ham

2009-10

Hull, West Ham, Portsmouth

Burnley, Hull, Portsmouth

2008-09

Wigan, Bolton, Tottenham

Newcastle United, Middlesbrough, West Brom

2007-08

Tottenham, Derby, Bolton

Reading, Birmingham City, Derby

2006-07

Watford, Sheffield United, Charlton

Sheffield United, Charlton, Watford

2005-06

Everton, Birmingham City, Sunderland

Birmingham City, West Brom, Sunderland

2004-05

Southampton, Norwich, Blackburn

Crystal Palace, Norwich, Southampton

2003-04

Bolton, Leeds, Leicester

Leicester, Leeds, Wolves

2002-03

Man CIty, Sunderland, Bolton

West Ham, West Brom, Sunderland

2001-02

Derby, Southampton, Leicester

Ipswich, Derby, Leicester

2000-01

West Ham, Bradford, Derby

Man City, Coventry, Bradford

 

 

 

Be interesting to slice that information by whether the teams changed manager post ten games or not. If most of the ones that stay up is due to a manager change, that spells trouble for us as we wont change at all.

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Was bored and American so decided see what the trend had been in recent times in terms of relegation chances after 10 games.

 

Caveats aside that of course the game isn't played on paper and stats are the devil's abacus: if you're in the bottom 3 after 10 games it's still close to a coin-flip: 24 of the 45 teams in the bottom three after 10 games (53%) over the last 15 years have gone on to be relegated.

 

 

 

Bold indicates a relegated team was in the bottom 3 after 10 games.

Year

Bottom 3 After 10 Games

Bottom 3 at season end

2014-15

Leicester, QPR, Burnley

Hull, Burnley, QPR

2013-14

Norwich, Sunderland, Crystal Palace

Norwich, Fulham, Cardiff City

2012-13

Reading, QPR, Southampton

Wigan, Reading, QPR

2011-12

Bolton, Blackburn, Wigan

Bolton, Blackburn, Wolves

2010-11

Blackburn, Wolves, West Ham

Birmingham City, Blackpool, West Ham

2009-10

Hull, West Ham, Portsmouth

Burnley, Hull, Portsmouth

2008-09

Wigan, Bolton, Tottenham

Newcastle United, Middlesbrough, West Brom

2007-08

Tottenham, Derby, Bolton

Reading, Birmingham City, Derby

2006-07

Watford, Sheffield United, Charlton

Sheffield United, Charlton, Watford

2005-06

Everton, Birmingham City, Sunderland

Birmingham City, West Brom, Sunderland

2004-05

Southampton, Norwich, Blackburn

Crystal Palace, Norwich, Southampton

2003-04

Bolton, Leeds, Leicester

Leicester, Leeds, Wolves

2002-03

Man CIty, Sunderland, Bolton

West Ham, West Brom, Sunderland

2001-02

Derby, Southampton, Leicester

Ipswich, Derby, Leicester

2000-01

West Ham, Bradford, Derby

Man City, Coventry, Bradford

 

 

 

Be interesting to slice that information by whether the teams changed manager post ten games or not. If most of the ones that stay up is due to a manager change, that spells trouble for us as we wont change at all.

Took a brief look and there wasn't a connection, probably because other teams will chop and change if/as they begin to slide, negating the effect. But all this is a coinflip at 10 games anyway. I think after 15-18 games bottom the 5 are usually set. Wait and see I suppose.  :undecided:
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It is just too hard for us to get anything right now, whether is it's bad luck, poor refereeing, running into a keeper playing on fire or whatever, we can't get the results. It's a big relegation sign and a huge indication that this is not going to end well this season.

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Seriously worries me that we seem unable to score in so many games this season. Butland did play class today but we should have won... again. Too familiar.

6 so far. Very worrying.

especially considering that defense is going to fuck up on a very regular basis

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Guest palnese

Another canny result.

Do you seriously want us to go down?

 

Erm, yes?

 

 

 

I think Ashley might sell if we go down and stay there. That's my only reason.

Erm, why?

 

Aahh ffs.

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