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1 minute ago, thomas said:

All I was objecting to was labeling him world class right now. He could very well go on to be such, at which point my opinion will change and everyone can tell me “we told you so!” :lol:

 

 

 

Yeah we can't call him world class now by any stretch of the imagination. He's more the exciting new breed looking to make a name for himself - which he's done very well for two years now.

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1 minute ago, gbandit said:

Villa are over performing by a ridiculous margin 

 

West Ham and Man Utd also have big variance. In fact Man Utd is absolutely honking where their expectation peers are :lol:

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Look at Brentford. Would be interested to see xG over a larger sample size in the Premier League. Say, 150 games, would tell us how impressive xG is as a genuine predictor 

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8 minutes ago, gbandit said:

Look at Brentford. Would be interested to see xG over a larger sample size in the Premier League. Say, 150 games, would tell us how impressive xG is as a genuine predictor 

 

Gotta be similar to goal difference. Doesn't always reflect your position but more games you include the more correlation between higher position predictor. Maybe less accurate as its expected over delivered, but should have some correlation.

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25 minutes ago, gbandit said:

Villa are over performing by a ridiculous margin 

they have been if you go by xG difference since Emery took charge, but it’s a big enough sample size now to say their position in the league can’t be by accident. I’d be interested to see some opinions from analysts on what Villa are specifically doing to defy these metrics so consistently.

 

Man UFC are the spawniest cunts going, like. I wish Bruno Fernandes got injured for once because they might actually get relegated without him.

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6 minutes ago, Smal said:

they have been if you go by xG difference since Emery took charge, but it’s a big enough sample size now to say their position in the league can’t be by accident. I’d be interested to see some opinions from analysts on what Villa are specifically doing to defy these metrics so consistently.

 

Man UFC are the spawniest cunts going, like. I wish Bruno Fernandes got injured for once because they might actually get relegated without him.

 

:thup: Something we should remember about Newcastle as well. Reading loads of stuff about how we overachieved last season, or that our tactics have been found out etc. All again just ignoring the massive injured elephant in the room 

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48 minutes ago, Smal said:

they have been if you go by xG difference since Emery took charge, but it’s a big enough sample size now to say their position in the league can’t be by accident. I’d be interested to see some opinions from analysts on what Villa are specifically doing to defy these metrics so consistently.

 

Man UFC are the spawniest cunts going, like. I wish Bruno Fernandes got injured for once because they might actually get relegated without him.

He is clearly very good and is much better than Gerrard but even a 38-game season isn't a very big sample size statistically. Union Berlin are a great example of this, who were the underlying-numbers overachievers in Europe last year. Now things look much less great for them.

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The increased number of fixtures, plus having something of a target on our back, meant that this was always likely to be a "retrenching" year.

 

We've probably had the most challenging ficture list in the world (PL + CL Group of Death + Tough LC Draws), while having a terrible injury crisis and having our highest profile summer signing banned.

 

Getting into the Europa league was my expectation for this season. That is still very possible, especially as the fixture list lightens up and injured players return.

 

Given all that I think Eddie has done a fine job.

 

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2 hours ago, Coffee_Johnny said:

Take your point if you equate world class with achievements to date. Clubs served, trophies won. If someone is expressing an opinion that Eddie Howe has an absolutely top drawer range of leadership and tactical attributes which put in him the upper echelons of football managers, regardless of country/league, then  I think saying  ‘he is world class’ is decent shorthand.

 

 

 

Howe isn’t there yet on the tactics attributes etc either.  That doesn’t mean he won’t get there, but I don’t think it’s arguable that his tactical shortcomings have been exposed somewhat - he’s ploughed on with the same playing styles irrespective of injuries, fixture congestion, and opponents.

 

If past experience is owt to go by, I’m sure he’ll be back to the drawing board when the season ends. 

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On 02/01/2024 at 18:01, Doc said:

It would surely be easier for you to say what your old log in was than having Sifu vouch for you, I'm sure other posters will remember it.

Unless of course, you don't have one that is.:)

 

happy to satisfy the masses - Dazzanufc1892 

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2 hours ago, Smal said:

they have been if you go by xG difference since Emery took charge, but it’s a big enough sample size now to say their position in the league can’t be by accident. I’d be interested to see some opinions from analysts on what Villa are specifically doing to defy these metrics so consistently.

 

Like you've said, over a calendar year, we're second in the league. That's a long period of time to be consistent over.

 

To paraphrase some golf player (Gary Player, maybe), "it's funny, the more we practice, the luckier we get"

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2 hours ago, Jagten said:

He is clearly very good and is much better than Gerrard but even a 38-game season isn't a very big sample size statistically. Union Berlin are a great example of this, who were the underlying-numbers overachievers in Europe last year. Now things look much less great for them.

 

38 games is a great number of games for a season. Allows variance to play it's part but not too much. 

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I wouldn't be surprised if we, along with several dozen other clubs are also watching with interest. If not, why not? We should always be looking at what's coming up, whether it be players or staff.

 

Think this though is 2+2 stuff and slighty mischievous from the media looking to spin their own agenda. 

 

 

Edited by Dokko

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1 hour ago, Lush Vlad said:

The Mail reporting on an article in Marca. As reliable as it gets :lol: 

Silly season will end when form picks back up.  The idea that Marca would know what the board are thinking but UK hacks don’t seems far-fetched. 

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41 minutes ago, Vinny Green Balls said:

It's pretty obvious that he does. Just incredible some of the context free shit on here.

Barring an absolutely ridiculous run of results, Howe should be getting at least the first half of next season too.  

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