The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Conference League (at least)

[ramirez]

13 minutes ago, Danh1 said:

What about our place in the conference? If we get to EL or CL, does it not go back to the league?

Yeah. 

[Decky]

Is this the first time we've gifted someone else a spot in Europe by giving our spot back to the league? 

 

 

Edited 14 hours ago by Decky

[Displayname]

3 minutes ago, Decky said:

Is this the first time we've gifted someone else a spot on Europe by giving our spot back to the league? 

Its kinda only happens when you win a trophy so..

[CPL]

3 minutes ago, Decky said:

Is this the first time we've gifted someone else a spot on Europe by giving our spot back to the league? 

For at least 70 years probably! 

[GideonShandy]

The bookies have Chelsea with a much better chance than Villa of qualifying.  8/13 Chelsea  8/5 Villa. Even though Chelsea have to go to Forest on the last day. I don't get it.

 

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-5-finish

[Displayname]

1 minute ago, GideonShandy said:

The bookies have Chelsea with a much better chance than Villa of qualifying.  8/13 Chelsea  8/5 Villa. Even though Chelsea have to go to Forest on the last day. I don't get it.

 

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/top-5-finish

Pretty simple, if they match their results they are ahead.

And Forest away doesnt look that scary atm.

 

 

Edited 14 hours ago by Displayname

[DoricGinola]

1 hour ago, ramirez said:

There’s a scenario where England could end up not having a team in the conference of Chelsea win it but can’t recall where they need to be in the league. 
 

I still think we need a win to lock it in as Villa will win the last two now, it wouldn’t surprise me if they qualify with us and city. 

Think this also.

 

We still need 3 pts IMO.

[Geordie Ahmed]

I can actually see a situation where City miss out

 

Dropping points to Southampton was brutal and their remaining fixtures aren't easy, they have very little margin for error as I think less than 69 points won't be enough

[Erikse]

Probably already mentioned, but Forest getting points vs Chelsea would mean that 68 is enough. If Forest also drop points vs West Ham in this scenario, 67 would probably do (depending on Chelsea gd vs ours).

 

 

Edited 14 hours ago by Erikse

[ramirez]

I think forest are cooked now. Spurs and Man U bottom of form chart and unlikely to try much harder ahead of final. I suppose if Man U win they could be on a high for final day but not expecting any more favours. 

[Ikon]

7 hours ago, Erikse said:

Probably already mentioned, but Forest getting points vs Chelsea would mean that 68 is enough. If Forest also drop points vs West Ham in this scenario, 67 would probably do (depending on Chelsea gd vs ours).

 

 

 

 

Villa and Chelsea are the biggest threats. But yeah, it's in our hands.

[McCormick]

Really hope Villa don’t make it.

[Sibierski]

Think there’s a very high chance that final game it’s 66 / 66 / 66 / 66 / 65  

[cubaricho]

10 hours ago, Displayname said:

Only seems like its Spurs and Man Utd who doesnt give a shit to me.

 

No idea if they arent giving a shit or just are shit tbf.

They don’t give a shit about the league anymore no. And they are shit. But now both teams are in a pretty 50/50 situation to get CL football due to the final. They’re giving wayyyy more of a shit about trying to move those odds now. 

[South-Cheshire-Toon]

Looking at it with who's got to play who and the fact that the FA Cup is on the Sat with Shitty playing, I've come to the conclusion to wait until the final gamesweek as there are too many permutations to take into account.

 

Once the next games week is done then there will be a, obviously, clearer picture as to who needs what.

 

Also Spurs play Manure in the mid week as well, so Manure may not be up for the Villa games as much dependant on the result, which can be same for Shitty with their FA Cup game.

 

Also obvious to say - 2 wins and we'll be second. 

 

 

 

 

[JP]

Imagine in August 2024 we got handed the following as a scenario for our season:

 

- Win the Carabao cup

- Win v Everton at SJP final day for CL qualification

 

We'll get the job done

[The College Dropout]

It’s not complicated. 3 more points and we are in the CL. We have 2 shots at it.  
 

I don’t expect to capitalise on the first shot. But I do expect we will for the second shot. 
 

Pickford will be well up for it. That’s my only slight fear.  Fortunately I expect the rest of the team to be on the beach and emotionally spent after the last Goodson game. 

[LFEE]

I’m fearful still. Always said we needed not to lose against Villa and not changed my mind.

 

Can see Man City, Chelsea and Villa winning both their last two games.

 

Arsenal will be desperate for revenge and then we have inform Everton with Pickford in goal 

[Sibierski]

Finishing 2nd would be mad  

 

22-23: 71

23-24: 60

24-25: 66-71

 

Think it’s fair to say we have established what will be an average season moving points wise.
 

Our low end should be enough to finish top 7 vast majority of time. Going forward it’ll be to increase that low end to the 70 mark which then means upper end is title challengers. At the moment our top end is top 4 challengers. 
 

Some progress we’ve made, and consistency which will appeal to players.
 

 

[The College Dropout]

Just now, JP said:

Imagine in August 2024 we got handed the following as a scenario for our season:

 

- Win the Carabao cup

- Win v Everton at SJP final day for CL qualification

 

We'll get the job done

Or win against Arsenal.  We’ll beat one of them at least. 

[JP]

Emotional Pickford at SJP = absolute stinker for him

 

Always gets way too involved and drops a clanger for us

 

[Holloway]

When we do qualify, I can't wait for the endless permutations after the draw has been made and match 1 completed 

[The College Dropout]

5 minutes ago, LFEE said:

I’m fearful still. Always said we needed not to lose against Villa and not changed my mind.

 

Can see Man City, Chelsea and Villa winning both their last two games.

 

Arsenal will be desperate for revenge and then we have inform Everton with Pickford in goal 

????

 

We didn’t need anything against Villa which is why it will be in our hands in GW38 no matter what happens next week.  
 

Everton are still shit.  

[Nucasol]

Hoping the Everton players stick on their adidas slides and beachwear once they get the big Woodison goodbye out of the way next weekend.

[Displayname]

2 minutes ago, The College Dropout said:

????

 

We didn’t need anything against Villa which is why it will be in our hands in GW38 no matter what happens next week.  
 

Everton are still shit.  

Yeah them winning against Fulham (like everyone else lately) doesnt transform them in to a good team suddenly.