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The Europeometer™ (2023/24) - permutations in O.P.


Rich

The TopFourometer™ (2023/24)  

615 members have voted

  1. 1. How likely are we to finish top four this season? 0 = nee chance, 5 = can’t call it, 10 = nailed on marra



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2 hours ago, The College Dropout said:

Chelsea are very random. You can't predict what they will do. They've got results against City, Liverpool, Man U, Spurs etc. and drawn and lost to some dross.

 

Us, Man U... similar teams really. Can score goals but also loose at the back.,


Tbf we were pissing all over them before the red cards and the injuries, and nearly got a result with 9 men. They’re not very good, although Palmer and all the penalties might continue to bail them out. 
 

I keep expecting them to go on a run but they keep being a bit shite.

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1 hour ago, Froggy said:

 

There's no luck over a full season. You are where you deserve to be. 

 

You scored 4 goals against Luton and drew the game. Looking at goals scored as a reason why you should be higher is silly. 

Oh, I wasn't saying we deserved to be higher, I was just saying we weren't similar. 

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9 minutes ago, Dr. TC said:

Oh, I wasn't saying we deserved to be higher, I was just saying we weren't similar. 

 

I don't mean Newcastle specifically. I just think teams could potentially defend very well and have a lower goals for total than teams around them. 

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I think 62 points, with our goal difference, would get 6th. So 15 points over the last 7 matches.

 

Assuming we take maximum points from Burnely and SU (not guaranteed, but it should be the expectation if we're going to pull it off), we would need 9 points from:

Spurs (h)

Crystal Palace (a)

ManU (a)

Brighton (h)

Brentford (a)

 

Not much room for error... it really may come down to the game at Old Trafford.

 

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51 minutes ago, Bellars said:

I think 62 points, with our goal difference, would get 6th. So 15 points over the last 7 matches.

 

Assuming we take maximum points from Burnely and SU (not guaranteed, but it should be the expectation if we're going to pull it off), we would need 9 points from:

Spurs (h)

Crystal Palace (a)

ManU (a)

Brighton (h)

Brentford (a)

 

Not much room for error... it really may come down to the game at Old Trafford.

 


That game already has the makings of utter chaos.

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2 hours ago, midds said:

The 5th place finish under Pardew convinced me that a team can spawn it for a whole season. We got that place and were underwhelming as fuck for most of it, it never happened before and it's not happened since, it was a continuous run of luck/breaks that went in our favour and we won points and games we absolutely shouldn't have. We did win them but it was a false position, there was no foundation to it, it wasn't representative of performances 

 

We also had, by accident, one of the league's most elite goal scorers with 29 goals (behind only RvP). It was just split across two players and fueled by one of the greatest purple patches the sport has ever seen. 

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22 hours ago, SteV said:

The disparity in price between ourselves and West Ham (can actually get 33/1 with PP) seems mental, but I suppose reflective of them having played a game more and having Liverpool and Man City to play.

I don't think PP have updated their odds, as theirs (and Betfair, same company, so same odds) are all a long way apart to the rest when comparing odds for us, Chelsea and West Ham:

 

image.thumb.png.cc4afc3cdde9741dc6feb7d704a6288b.png

 

PP are the 3rd odds and Betfair are the 6th.

 

I don't think we will finish 6th, but I did put a few quid on us at PP, just because it's so out with all the rest, so looks a lot more value, even though I personally think between 3 and 4/1 would look more appropriate, but pretty much everywhere have Chelsea 9/2 after dropping those Sheff U points, yet 11/5 is a hell of a difference at PP.

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3 minutes ago, Paullow said:

I don't think PP have updated their odds, as theirs (and Betfair, same company, so same odds) are all a long way apart to the rest when comparing odds for us, Chelsea and West Ham:

 

image.thumb.png.cc4afc3cdde9741dc6feb7d704a6288b.png

 

PP are the 3rd odds and Betfair are the 6th.

 

I don't think we will finish 6th, but I did put a few quid on us at PP, just because it's so out with all the rest, so looks a lot more value, even though I personally think between 3 and 4/1 would look more appropriate, but pretty much everywhere have Chelsea 9/2 after dropping those Sheff U points, yet 11/5 is a hell of a difference at PP.


SkyBet are also part of Flutter. Betfair Sportsbook and Paddy Power’s prices are usually more aligned. But you do get different prices across all three for the horses. So don’t know why this would be any different here. 

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2 hours ago, Beth said:

Fernandes getting injured would be a good thing for them, he's been dross for months and I think Mount is a better player.

 

Nee way mate. 

 

Bruno being unbreakable is the only reason they haven't been midtable club for yonks now.

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Bruno has been well below his best since Christmas, that much is true. But whenever we pick up any points he's still usually the difference maker. Even when he has a terrible game he gives 100% and runs his arse off.

 

To say Mount is a better player is up there with one of the worst takes I've ever heard to be honest. I dread to think where we would be without Bruno.

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Be great if we could get 6th.

If the premier league gets 5 CL spots, and the FA cup winner comes from within the top 6, is it not the case that 7th would get Europa league rather than conference league?

In the above scenario 8th would get conference league?

 

 

Edited by Bally21

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41 minutes ago, Bally21 said:

Be great if we could get 6th.

If the premier league gets 5 CL spots, and the FA cup winner comes from within the top 6, is it not the case that 7th would get Europa league rather than conference league?

In the above scenario 8th would get conference league?

 

 

 

The assumption is yes.

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