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6 minutes ago, Smal said:

unpopular opinion clearly but slightly wary on whether Mbeumo will be worth the kind of fee talked about. He obviously improves us but I wouldn't necessarily expect another 20 goal season from him. 5 of them are penalties and then he's outscored his non-penalty xG by double. xG is not the be all and end all but consistently good players don't tend to outscore it by much at all. Prior to this season his hit rate is 1 in every 4.5 PL games which is not really £60m territory. 

In previous seasons, Brentford were constructed around Toney. It’s no surprise that Wissa and Mbeumo have been somewhat liberated in his absence. At Newcastle he’ll be playing in a better team with a manager at least as good. I think his numbers can get better. As others have said he’s a two for one, providing excellent cover for Isak centrally too.


And having another class penalty taker in the ranks is always useful.

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2 hours ago, FloydianMag said:

Discussion on RedCafe re MBeumo and our potential bid for him. Some interesting comments on how attractive a club we are to players.

 

https://www.redcafe.net/threads/bryan-mbeumo-newcastle-ready-to-make-bid-telegraph.486505/page-35

 

God they really are up their own arse aren’t they 

 

“Does he want to tell his Gran Kids that he had the chance to play for one of the biggest clubs in the world and chose Newcastle instead”

“Thing is when other clubs are reported it usually is more concrete and less BS as they don't sell as many papers on Newcastle rumours.”

 

 

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18 minutes ago, astraguy said:

surely with crystal palace winning the fa cup and getting into Europe , They'll take the piss price wise? don't see the point just look abroad for a schar

 

All of that is irrelevant in comparison to the length of his deal though. If he signs a new deal then yes, otherwise he can leave for nothing next year.

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Just now, Kid Icarus said:

The only thing I don't quite get about Guehi is his weakness in the air. Quite often our trap is to press teams into hitting it long and then dominating in the air. How does that work if they launch it to whoever he's marking?

Is he much worse than Schar in the air? Wouldn’t the plan be Botman/Burn for aerial ability and Guehi for pace?

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Can’t say I’ve been impressed with Guehi and I guess we’ve been waiting on a right winger for so long Mbeumo could be underwhelming to some. I think he’s just what we need tho 

 

 

Edited by gdm

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3 minutes ago, ponsaelius said:

 

All of that is irrelevant in comparison to the length of his deal though. If he signs a new deal then yes, otherwise he can leave for nothing next year.

it's the palace chairman i fear though , unless we already know his price i don't see the point 

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13 minutes ago, Displayname said:

Feel like outscoring his xg is a positive. Tells me he is a good finisher. Should get more oppurtunities with us. 

 

Wouldn't expect 20 goals by all means. 20 goals+assists maybe.

 

The best counterpoint to this is that Liverpool signed Darwin Nunez off the back of one season where he scored 32 from 21.5xG for Benfica. He's not a good finisher to say the least! Good finishers and consistent goalscorers like Isak, Haaland, Mbappe etc. all tend to score pretty much in line with what's expected or just over.  

 

Just think we'd be paying a peak/inflated price for him because he's had a statistically amazing season. 

 

1 minute ago, Kid Icarus said:

The only thing I don't quite get about Guehi is his weakness in the air. Quite often our trap is to press teams into hitting it long and then dominating in the air. How does that work if they launch it to whoever he's marking?

 Same way it works with Schar. Burn or Botman do the difficult aerial duels and Guehi/Schar only get involved when they know they can win.

 

Fabi's personal aerial statistics massively improved when he started getting partnered by Burn/Botman because he's allowed to pick his battles more. Before that they were really poor.  

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7 minutes ago, Smal said:

 

The best counterpoint to this is that Liverpool signed Darwin Nunez off the back of one season where he scored 32 from 21.5xG for Benfica. He's not a good finisher to say the least! Good finishers and consistent goalscorers like Isak, Haaland, Mbappe etc. all tend to score pretty much in line with what's expected or just over.  

 

Just think we'd be paying a peak/inflated price for him because he's had a statistically amazing season. 

 

 Same way it works with Schar. Burn or Botman do the difficult aerial duels and Guehi/Schar only get involved when they know they can win.

 

Fabi's personal aerial statistics massively improved when he started getting partnered by Burn/Botman because he's allowed to pick his battles more. Before that they were really poor.  

Yeah that's a fair point. I think of Schar as being very good in the air tbh, but looking at the stats it seems like he's not as good as I thought and Guehi actually wins more.

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16 minutes ago, Kid Icarus said:

Yeah that's a fair point. I think of Schar as being very good in the air tbh, but looking at the stats it seems like he's not as good as I thought and Guehi actually wins more.

 

If we ever had to play Guehi and Schar together I think it'd be a bit of a disaster against the wrong opponent but hopefully we'd never be in that situation. 

 

Just had a glance at aerials this season and it's not even remotely close, this :lol: 

 

image.png.8426ee16435e52a9795942cdb72e5c36.png

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15 minutes ago, Kid Icarus said:

Mbeumo has outscored his xG, BUT, his previous season stats are still very consistently impressive, match his xG, and he took more pens (5) this season, so it's not his fault really.

 

Screenshot_20250528_174049_Brave.thumb.jpg.3f6bfb1ee32fd2b87c334c2848625ef3.jpg

 

 

 


I seem to remember 23-24 season he had an injury and was out for 2-3 months (I think)

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50 minutes ago, Crimson Cardigan said:

In previous seasons, Brentford were constructed around Toney. It’s no surprise that Wissa and Mbeumo have been somewhat liberated in his absence. At Newcastle he’ll be playing in a better team with a manager at least as good. I think his numbers can get better. As others have said he’s a two for one, providing excellent cover for Isak centrally too.


And having another class penalty taker in the ranks is always useful.

 

Wash your potty mouth out 😉

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44 minutes ago, BrianSwan said:

How much do Newcastle have to spend?

 

This is the first window in a while where we can spend without the threat of PSR instantly ruining everything. Some people are saying we have around 250 million to spend before we need to sell anyone, it'll be nearer 100, possibly 150 million given we've just secured CL football. We're good buyers though, so anyone we do splurge on will likely be worth it.

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