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The Europeometer™ (2023/24)


Rich

The TopFourometer™ (2023/24)  

625 members have voted

  1. 1. How likely are we to finish top four this season? 0 = nee chance, 5 = can’t call it, 10 = nailed on marra



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12 minutes ago, SUPERTOON said:

They have got Eriksen and Martial back fit, that should help them. 

 

:thup:

 

Fernandes only deep because Eriksen and Casemiro were out. Martial will be the goal source. If he gets injured again then there'll be issues.

 

Casemiro, Eriksen, Fernandes midfield 3. Sancho, Antony and Martial front 3.

 

McTominay will likely still start another game or two yet until Eriksen is fully fit.

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5 minutes ago, The College Dropout said:

Man Utd have such easy fixtures man

 

Aye, them and Liverpool have kind fixtures from now until the end of the season. Though it'd take a massive turnaround in away form and a total collapse from both us and Spurs for the latter to have a sniff.

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9 minutes ago, The Prophet said:

Are Everton away and Brighton home our only remaining midweek fixtures?

Aye, Everton is on a Thursday night before we play Southampton on the Sunday. Brighton one still to be announced.

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17 minutes ago, The Prophet said:

 

Aye, them and Liverpool have kind fixtures from now until the end of the season. Though it'd take a massive turnaround in away form and a total collapse from both us and Spurs for the latter to have a sniff.

Liverpool are too far away and still not convincing.  They win all their games they don't get to 70 points - they're out.

 

Aye even with the injuries, the fixtures are so kind. I only recently realised the Spurs game is at Spurs. A SPurs win would be bad because you still reckon Man U get 70 odd points if they lose that.

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19 hours ago, SteV said:

Arsenal now playing Chelsea the midweek before they play us. Tuesday to Sunday so not like it’s a quick turnaround for them, but still a small advantage for us.

After Arsenal's collapse at Liverpool, I'm quite confident for that game. I think we'll do them again.

 

The media hype over Xhaka getting a reaction from the Liverpool crowd drowned out what should have been debate over why Arsenal conceded gazillions of xG to a midfield of Henderson, Fabinho and Curtis Jones/rusty Thiago. That is not a strong Liverpool team, yet Arsenal completely failed to see the game out a two goal lead. If Liverpool can do that to them, I'm sure we can.

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Since we walloped them last week, Man U seem to have shifted up a gear and seemed to be putting more men forward against Everton, they looked like they were a team on a mission. There again, might have helped they were playing a Dyche team where he was probably more defensive than others will be, especially considering they are fighting relegation.

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You'd fancy Man Utd to be more worried with Rashford being out but we know football doesn't work like that. Watch Weghorst start scoring now. 

 

Our next two games are everything. Win both and its done imo. 

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2 hours ago, Froggy said:

 

:thup:

 

Fernandes only deep because Eriksen and Casemiro were out. Martial will be the goal source. If he gets injured again then there'll be issues.

 

Casemiro, Eriksen, Fernandes midfield 3. Sancho, Antony and Martial front 3.

 

McTominay will likely still start another game or two yet until Eriksen is fully fit.

McTominay. Do you guys expect him to be sold in the summer?

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Had a quick look at the last couple of season for context.

 

21/22

 

The most similar was probably last year, in that 5th, 4th and 3rd had a bit of a cushion from the chasing pack. After GW30, the lay of the land was:

 

Chelsea P29 - 59 points

Spurs P30 - 54 points

Arsenal P29 - 54 points

 

They went onto finish in that order with Spurs finishing on 71 and Arsenal 69.

 

20/21

 

The year before was far more open with West Ham and Leicester also on with a shout. After GW 29 the table was:

 

Leicester P29 - 56 points

Chelsea P29 - 51 points

West Ham P29 - 49 points

Spurs P29 - 48 points

Liverpool P29 - 46 points

 

Incredibly, Liverpool went onto claim 69 points and 3rd with an impressive 23 points from their last 9 games. Chelsea held onto 4th with 67, while Leicester fell away taking just 10 points from their last 9, finishing on a total of 66. 

 

19/20

 

As far back as I could be arsed to go, but after GW29 you had:

 

Leicester P29 - 53 points

Chelsea P29 - 48 points 

Man United P29 - 45 points

 

All three finished top five, but once again Leicester missed out from a position of strength, taking 9 points from their last 9 and finishing on 62 points. Chelsea and Man United claimed 4th and 3rd respectively with relatively low totals of 66 points. 

 

I guess the take aways are that 70 points (or 14 points from our last 9) should just about do the job. Leicester demonstrate that it isn't a given at this point and I'm sure everyone at the club is fully aware of that. Liverpool came back from the dead one year, but they did finish on 69 points and wouldn't have finished 3rd without others faltering around them.

 

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Spurs are away to us, Villa, Liverpool and Leeds in their last 8 games. Brentford, Man Utd and Palace at home could be tricky too. I didn't actually sit and look at their games but I think we'll do better than them in the last few games and we're already 3 ahead with a game in hand. 

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