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The Europeometer™ (2024/25) - NUFC Qualify for Conference League (at least)


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10 points from the remaining 4 homes and we're virtually there. I think we'll overhaul Forest now and stay ahead of Chelsea and Villa too but expect City to pass us and finish 3rd. I'd go:

 

City

Us

Forest

Villa

Chelsea

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21 minutes ago, astraguy said:

Nottingham Forest-P32 Points 57 GD 13,  Ipswich (A), Man U (H),Villa (A), Everton (H), Spurs (A), Brentford (H), Crystal Palace (A), Leicester City (H), West Ham  (A), Chelsea (H)
Manchester City-P32 Points 55 GD 20, Brighton (H), Leicester (H), Man United (A), Palace (H), Everton (A), Villa (H), Wolves (H), Southampton (A), Bournemouth (H), Fulham (A)
Chelsea-P32 Points 54 GD 17 Arsenal (A), Spurs (H), Brentford (A), Ipswich (H), Fulham (A), Everton (H), Liverpool (H), Newcastle (A),  Man U (H), Forest (A)
Newcastle United-P30 Points 56 GD 16, -, Brentford (H), Leicester (A), Man U (H), Palace (H), Villa (A), Ipswich (H), Brighton (A), Chelsea (H), Arsenal (A), Everton (H)
Bournemouth-P31 Points 45 GD 11 ,Spurs (A), Brentford (H), Ipswich (H), West Ham (A), Fulham (H), Palace (A), Man United (H), Arsenal (A), Villa (H),Man City (A), Leicester (H)
Brighton P32 Points 48 GD 2,  Man City (A), Villa (H), Palace (A), Leicester (H), Brentford (A), West Ham (H), Newcastle (H), Wolves (A), Liverpool (H), Spurs (A)
Fulham P31 Points 48 GD 5,  Spurs (H), Arsenal (A), Liverpool (H), Bournemouth (A), Chelsea (H), Southampton (A), Villa (A), Everton (H), Brentford (A),Man City (H)
Aston Villa-P32 Points 54 GD-3 , Brighton (A), Forest (H), Southampton (A), Newcastle (H), Man City (A), Fulham (H), Bournemouth (A), Spurs (H),Man United (A)

 

Man City playing Aston Villa a few days after we play Villa, whilst we’d go into the weekend playing against Ipswich as a game in hand could be key. It means even if we lost to Villa, we’d have the opportunity to either gain 2 points back on both of them, or 3 points against 1 of them if we beat Ipswich.

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1 hour ago, midds said:

Screenshot_20250413_185431_Brave.thumb.jpg.62a3637bb72cb360d220e6c97354359b.jpg


The key to getting top 6 for me each season is beating the bottom 6 home and away. They’re games you can’t be dropping points in and bar the freak West Ham game, we’ve done just that. Clean sweep those, you always put yourself in a great position. 

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I'd be absolutely ecstatic with 3rd or 4th. Really hope Forest get one of the spots too. They deserve it after the season they've had. Also another fuck-you to the shameful 6

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Delighted that we're on course to finish high and at the expense of lots of teams I dislike... bit sad that we're on course to bypass a competition in which we have unfinished business and which we could feasibly win (in favour of one we can't) 

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1 minute ago, Yorkie said:

Delighted that we're on course to finish high and at the expense of lots of teams I dislike... bit sad that we're on course to bypass a competition in which we have unfinished business and which we could feasibly win (in favour of one we can't) 


If we nail 3 starting quality players, and strike well with a youth player, then i will always dream.

 

Dortmund got to the final last year and QFs this year despite being bang average at best. You will need some luck in the draw, but why not believe especially if Isak continues this level.

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1 hour ago, midds said:

Screenshot_20250413_185431_Brave.thumb.jpg.62a3637bb72cb360d220e6c97354359b.jpg

Interesting lack of draws. We’ve done very well against the bottom ten in the league, shows we’re getting more consistent as a club. Those results against Fulham are annoying as fuck 

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28 minutes ago, Sibierski said:


If we nail 3 starting quality players, and strike well with a youth player, then i will always dream.

 

Dortmund got to the final last year and QFs this year despite being bang average at best. You will need some luck in the draw, but why not believe especially if Isak continues this level.

I think the draw isn’t as relevant now you get 7 teams from four pots, instead of 3 from 3, should level out a bit in this format. 

7 minutes ago, Jonas said:

Just taking each game as it comes. Don't think were sauntering away here.

Palace will be hard and would take a point at Villa - cant see them getting turfed out of Europe and losing at home to us in the same week, bound to be a reaction. Meanwhile Forest play Spurs - got Middlesbrough 96 levels of belief in Spurs turning up.

 

 

 

Can see ange being away by then if they get knocked out of Europe, may give them a bounce. Is Peter shreeves still knocking about?

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25 minutes ago, Jonas said:

Just taking each game as it comes. Don't think were sauntering away here. Think we've the hardest run in of everyone.

 

 

 

Rather have ours than villa and chelseas

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It's a lesson to me in how imperfect a good team can be for spells, and to chill out a bit. There was a time around November and then again after the Fulham defeat that shortly followed Bournemouth where I just couldn't see us being top 5 - we just blew too many games. Yet here we are.

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1 hour ago, Yorkie said:

Delighted that we're on course to finish high and at the expense of lots of teams I dislike... bit sad that we're on course to bypass a competition in which we have unfinished business and which we could feasibly win (in favour of one we can't) 


Surely you won’t really be sad if we get CL instead of EL? 

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30 minutes ago, jack j said:

Rather have ours than villa and chelseas

 

Chelsea has the "hardest" run-in when utilizing the only "proper" metric such a thing could be judged extending beyond "vibes" (PPG average of remaining opponents in the season so far). Villa's remaining opponent's PPG is lower than ours by 0.02 PPG, so on paper an "easier" run-in.

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1 hour ago, Yorkie said:

Delighted that we're on course to finish high and at the expense of lots of teams I dislike... bit sad that we're on course to bypass a competition in which we have unfinished business and which we could feasibly win (in favour of one we can't) 

 

I feel like this too but this season a second CL season in three years would be transformative imo. In terms of keeping players, attracting players and PSR (:anguish:)

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29 minutes ago, AyeDubbleYoo said:


Surely you won’t really be sad if we get CL instead of EL? 

 

It would be an amazing outcome and I'd be delighted with the achievement - especially if we've really emphatically earned it - say if we finish third. I just prefer the EL as a competition and have so many demons I'd love to see vanquished by this NUFC. All of those exits in the noughties were very painful. 

 

I've no great affection for the CL and think the new format - for any PL team - is a jeopardy-free, low-stakes, bloated trudge. Way moreso than the previous format was. It's regrettable that the other tournaments are the same and (to counter my own point), the EL 'group stage' would probably make for an uninteresting campaign, due to the sheer amount of opportunities to achieve the necessary points target.  

 

If we did something remarkable like finished 2nd or 3rd I'd be more up for it because it would feel very earned. It's daft that literally a quarter of the league get into Europe's premier competition. 

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7 minutes ago, Doctor Zaius said:

 

I feel like this too but this season a second CL season in three years would be transformative imo. In terms of keeping players, attracting players and PSR (:anguish:)

 

There's no doubting it would be an amazing thing for the club.

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14 minutes ago, Kaizero said:

 

Chelsea has the "hardest" run-in when utilizing the only "proper" metric such a thing could be judged extending beyond "vibes" (PPG average of remaining opponents in the season so far). Villa's remaining opponent's PPG is lower than ours by 0.02 PPG, so on paper an "easier" run-in.

The average PPG of Villas remaining matches is 1.48 and ours is 1.44.

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