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The Europeometer™ (2023/24) - permutations in O.P.


Rich

The TopFourometer™ (2023/24)  

614 members have voted

  1. 1. How likely are we to finish top four this season? 0 = nee chance, 5 = can’t call it, 10 = nailed on marra



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Odds-wise, it was more competing with West Ham and Leicester for 7th to 9th.

 

https://www.sportinglife.com/football/news/premier-league-odds-2223-outright-winner-top-4-and-relegation/200983

 

Premier League Top Half finish 22/23 (via Sky Bet)

1/5 - Newcastle

4/6 - West Ham

4/5 - Leicester

7/4 - Aston Villa, Brighton

5/2 - Everton, Wolves

11/4 - Crystal Palace, Leeds

3/1 - Southampton

9/2 - Brentford

 

Premier League Top 4 finish 22/23 (via Sky Bet)

1/50 - Manchester City

1/10 - Liverpool

4/5 - Chelsea

11/10 - Manchester United, Tottenham

7/4 - Arsenal

6/1 - Newcastle

12/1 - Leicester, West Ham

 

Premier League winner 22/23 (via Sky Bet)

4/7 - Manchester City

2/1 - Liverpool

16/1 - Chelsea

25/1 - Manchester United

28/1 - Tottenham

40/1 - Arsenal

50/1 - Newcastle

 

https://talksport.com/sport/betting-tips/1081782/premier-league-odds-man-city-title-top-four-relegation/

 

Winner

Man City 4/7

Liverpool 2/1

Tottenham 14/1

Chelsea 16/1

Man United 28/1

Arsenal 66/1

Newcastle 80/1

West Ham 150/1

Leicester 200/1

Aston Villa 200/1

Brighton 250/1

Everton, Wolverhampton, Crystal Palace 500/1

Southampton, Leeds United, Brentford 750/1

Fulham, Nottingham Forest 1000/1

Bournemouth 2000/1

 

Top 4

Man City 1/33

Liverpool 1/10

Chelsea, Tottenham 8/11

Man United 11/8

Arsenal 7/4

Newcastle 8/1

West Ham 12/1

Leicester City, Aston Villa, Brighton 16/1

Everton, Wolves, Crystal Palace 33/1

Brentford, Southampton, Leeds 50/1

Fulham 66/1

Nottm Forest 100/1

Bournemouth 150/1

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Obviously, West Ham and Leicester have massively failed (domestically) this season, and are nailed on to both finish in the bottom half, if not relegated, and our odds would have been exaggerated due to bookies fear, and also expected money to be placed due to the sheer magnitude of the takeover, but while we obviously can't influence how well other teams do, I agree with those who say it would be a bit disappointing if we were to finish below Brighton (or Brentford) given the position they were in, and those teams now being within 2 or 3 points, and significantly closing the gap in recent weeks, isn't ideal.

 

Brighton are strange. They have finished bottom 6 every season since they came up with us in 2017, bar last season when they finished 9th, just a couple of points above us in 11th, but despite this, they do seem to have been geared up to do well, and it feels like they have been doing well for a while, despite their general low league finishes (as low as 16th in 2021). They also lost two of their supposed better players in the summer, and brought in lesser known players (as usual), but as others say they are very well run behind the scenes, and always seem to have a contingency plan in place for whenever it's needed, and in most cases, that plan often works out an upgrade.

 

I'd have been very happy with 7th to 9th 'and a cup run' at the start of the season, and I'd still be OK with 7th now (as long the FA Cup was won by a side in the top 6, so we still got some sort of European football), but given we were like 8 or 9 points clear of Brighton and Brentford not too long ago, it would be a bit disappointing if we were to finish below another 'non top 6 team', even if we were to finish above the likes of Chelsea. 

 

Finishing 7th behind the 'big 6' and being the obvious 'best of the rest' at this stage of our journey, and getting the plaudits for that, would have been more satisfying to me than finishing 7th behind a supposed lesser side, who would have had an even better season than us, if that makes sense.

 

 

 

 

Edited by Paullow

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First away win in five. First in 2023 too. 

 

Twelve points from our last eight games now, the same as Man U. 

 

18 points from the remaining 12 gets us to 65. 5-3-4 or even 4-6-2 would do it. More points would be better of course, but 65 is looking like there or thereabouts. In the big games to come at SJP, avoiding defeat might be enough. 

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4 games without Casemiro could be huge for Man U.

 

Beat them at St James's and we'd really put the wind up both them and Spurs,who I'd love to see implode under Conte.

 

Rather be aiming at two chances to get past a team for top 4 instead of one.

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