Heron Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 (edited) Kairat Almaty Villarreal Slavia Prague Frankfurt Ajax Union St Gill oise Pafos Benfica Bodo Glimt Club Brugge Kobenhaven Napoli Olympiacos Bilbao Eindhoven Monaco Leverkusen Marseille Realistically... Qarabag Galatasaray Lowest of 16th. Edited January 22 by Heron Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heron Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 (edited) Looking pretty decent. Win would be massive tomorrow and secure us a top 24 finish I reckon. Be looking good for a top 8 finish tbf. EDIT: Looking at the table even a draw would likely secure us a top 24 finish mathematically. Edited January 20 by Heron Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The College Dropout Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Badly want top 8. Seeded draw and 2 less games. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jinky Jim Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Though not mathematically certain…Frankfurt, Copenhagen and Clubbe Bruges have vastly inferior GD…So i’m counting them as well…..ONLY 4 more and we’re at least in the play-offs Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
PauloGeordio Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, The College Dropout said: Badly want top 8. Seeded draw and 2 less games. A win tomorrow night and then away to PSG for justice. They owe us one! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heron Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 (edited) Aim for a win tomorrow and shut up shop in Paris for a draw...maybe trying to knick a goal. Elanga up top. Edited January 20 by Heron Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TBG Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Sunderland Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nobody Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 I'm fairly certain even before tonight we were already guaranteed top 24. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gbandit Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 59 minutes ago, Heron said: Kairat Almaty Villarreal Slavia Prague Ajax Bodo Glimt The forum needed this thread more than it could ever know Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
RodneyCisse Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Anyone able to explain what happens if we’re 9th-12th in regard to who we’d play? Goes into a hat among the bottom half and we play home/away? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keegans Export Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 (edited) 13 minutes ago, Nobody said: I'm fairly certain even before tonight we were already guaranteed top 24. Correct Edit - this was before tonight so our exact odds will be different but still be 100% play off qualification Edited January 20 by Keegans Export Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
timeEd32 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 hour ago, The College Dropout said: Badly want top 8. Seeded draw and 2 less games. And a £10m bonus guaranteed. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colos Short and Curlies Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Play off against Pafos would be a nice reward for the away fans Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaurentRobert Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 hours ago, Heron said: Looking pretty decent. Win would be massive tomorrow and secure us a top 24 finish I reckon. Be looking good for a top 8 finish tbf. EDIT: Looking at the table even a draw would likely secure us a top 24 finish mathematically. Top 24 is already guaranteed Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexf Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 hours ago, Heron said: Aim for a win tomorrow and shut up shop in Paris for a draw...maybe trying to knick a goal. Elanga up top. I had visions then of Elanga recreating the Torres against Barcelona for Chelsea moment when they overcomitted in that semi final 2012? Only in this vision Elanga raced clear and then miscontrolled the ball and fell over. Honestly wouldn't even back him to score an open goal at this moment, his confidence is shot and he barely resembles a footballer. Having said all that. I think I'd start him tomorrow night. Only way he's gonna get better is playing games and it's not working having him come off the bench so may aswell chuck him in from the begining. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ben Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 I much prefer this format mind. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
timeEd32 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 hour ago, Ben said: I much prefer this format mind. I don’t mind it. I understand some of the complaints, but a lot of it feels like not liking change more than anything. Not even enjoying the competition because of the format is strange to me. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sibierski Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 8 hours ago, Keegans Export said: Correct Edit - this was before tonight so our exact odds will be different but still be 100% play off qualification That’s expected points. So it’s assuming we beat PSV. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moose Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I don't think we're mathematically guaranteed a spot in the top 24 but there's a lot that would have to go against us for us to miss out. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kilcline Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 4 hours ago, timeEd32 said: I don’t mind it. I understand some of the complaints, but a lot of it feels like not liking change more than anything. Not even enjoying the competition because of the format is strange to me. Aye, last year a mate said to me he found it "unwatchable" and didn't understand it. Thought that was a bit deep, I was just picking the best game every night and watching the match, but he couldn't even do that. To each their own I guess! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Optimistic Nut Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Might be wrong, but it looks like by the end of tonight there'll only be 2-3 teams guaranteed a place in the last 16, and anyone down to around 30th will still have something to play for on the last game? I'm enjoying it. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keegans Export Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 hour ago, Sibierski said: That’s expected points. So it’s assuming we beat PSV. It's two separate things. They do 1000 simulations and on average we got 12.9 points across those 1000. The percentages are how many times we qualified for the top 8 (13.3%) or got a playoff (86.7%) so out of 1000 sims we made at least a playoff place 1000 times Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nucasol Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Plugged in a few sets of results for various teams into the UCL predictor on the app, positive and negative. Even after two losses the lowest we slipped to was 20th so pretty sure we’re in the play offs in reality. Highest we got was 6th after two 1-0 wins. Draw and a 3-0 loss got us either 16th or 17th depending on other results. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sibierski Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Think even if we went to PSG and won 1-0, there’s a chance we still miss out on top 8 on GD Main thing for me is winning tonight and that with our GD (unless we proper blow up final game) should cement us the home 2nd leg in KO round and that’s all we can ask for really. Not winning away at Leverkusen or Marseille is what will cost top 8, but it was fine margins game and across two legs, they would be acceptable because we’d back ourselves to win by 2 at home. There’s no-one who’s likely to finish in the bottom half I worry about over two legs. Napoli at worse because of the away game, but Conte is a mess in Europe. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkie Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 hour ago, Optimistic Nut said: Might be wrong, but it looks like by the end of tonight there'll only be 2-3 teams guaranteed a place in the last 16, and anyone down to around 30th will still have something to play for on the last game? I'm enjoying it. It's not like that's an improvement on anything though. Going into the last round of fixtures in 2023/24 (the last time there was a traditional group stage), almost everyone had something to play for - even if it was just finishing 1st/2nd or grasping the Europa League spot. Looking at the standings there was only three teams out of 32 who already knew their fate before the last game. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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