Relegationometer

[Heron]

I am on a 7 like. Think we could very well be up s***s creak by the end of January.

 

One game played between now and the end of January.

Good point.  Well made.

[Optimistic Nut]

2 at the moment. Fail to see Leicester, Burnley or Hull finishing above us for starters, that's before throwing in QPR, Sunderland, Palace, WBA....

[NG32]

People still fancy Steve Moose at the toon?

[Heron]

If we are to stay in this division the minimal I would expect is 5 points from the next 3 games. In reality, we should be getting 9.

[Varadi]

35 will probably be enough to stay up so we need 2 wins and 2 draws from the last 16 games. Should be easy enough, but keep losing and the pressure will start to crank up and up...

[Dave]

Still don't think we're likely to fall into the kind of tailspin that did for us last time, but we need to beat Hull next time out. Massive game for a variety of reasons.

[Heron]

I hate to say it but I think Hull will beat us...

 

Bruce knows what the atmosphere is like on Tyneside, knows our run of form, and knows if they come out fighting and get ahead early they will beat us.

[midds]

Oh look, this thread is at the top again.

[Heron]

 

 

[NEEJ]

Crank it up.

[Conjo]

Reset poll please

[Nexumaster]

I went with a 7 a while back (ever the pessimist) but will shunt up to an 8 if Carver is left in charge. I know there are teams who are supposed to be worse than us but I think we'll just deflate more and more while Burnley, Palace, West Brom and teams of that ilk will find that extra bit of belief.

 

New poll. I'm now an 8. He might fluke a win against Hull but JC is going to get bummed by his bezzie mate Pards.

[midds]

I'll be honest here - I can't see us getting 40 points. It'll still probably be enough to stay up but it'll be a massive struggle to get a point a game with Carver in charge.

[NG32]

Battle stations battle stations, dispatch war rocket Ajax to bring back his body.

 

Red alert 8, defcon going down!

[Mole_Toonfan]

You probably won't even need 35, that's how crap the bottom half of the league is.

[NG32]

We thought that last time.

[Teasy]

On average you need 36 points, but aye probably won't even need that, 40 is more likely to have us 13th or 14th than relegated IMO.

 

If I thought there was any realistic chance at all I'd stick £100 on at 33/1, but just think in this case it'd be pissing £100 down the drain.

[Mike]

[Disco]

We're shite but I think we'll be able to get the required 11 points.

 

Sat 31 12:45 A Hull City

February

Sun 08 14:05 H Stoke City

Wed 11 20:00 A Crystal Palace

Sat 21 17:30 A Manchester City

Sat 28 15:00 H Aston Villa

March

Wed 04 19:45 H Man Utd

Sat 14 15:00 A Everton

Sat 21 15:00 H Arsenal

April

Sat 04 15:00 A Sunderland

Sat 11 15:00 A Liverpool

Sat 18 15:00 H Tottenham

Sat 25 15:00 H Swansea City

May

Sat 02 15:00 A Leicester City

Sat 09 15:00 H WBA

Sat 16 15:00 A QPR

Sun 24 15:00 H West Ham Utd

[Deuce]

We're shite but I think we'll be able to get the required 11 points.

 

Sat 31 12:45 A Hull City

February

Sun 08 14:05 H Stoke City

Wed 11 20:00 A Crystal Palace

Sat 21 17:30 A Manchester City

Sat 28 15:00 H Aston Villa

March

Wed 04 19:45 H Man Utd

Sat 14 15:00 A Everton

Sat 21 15:00 H Arsenal

April

Sat 04 15:00 A Sunderland

Sat 11 15:00 A Liverpool

Sat 18 15:00 H Tottenham

Sat 25 15:00 H Swansea City

May

Sat 02 15:00 A Leicester City

Sat 09 15:00 H WBA

Sat 16 15:00 A QPR

Sun 24 15:00 H West Ham Utd

 

There's 1-2 fluke wins in there against better sides.

 

Countered by 1-2 devastating losses to absolutely woeful sides.

[Optimistic Nut]

If we're talking purely in terms of survival which clearly the club is, there's 4 wins in there like. Still think we'll finish mid to late 40 point mark.

[Mole_Toonfan]

We thought that last time.

 

We have more points than we did last time and the bottom teams are a lot worse.

[Optimistic Nut]

2 wins, 2 draws and 12 defeats from now until the end of the season would give us the points tally that would have kept us up the season we went down. Even if we're god awful with something like 3 wins & 3 draws and 10 defeats we stay up imo.

[Deuce]

The only thing that really concerns me is our defense. Only Burnley and QPR have conceded more.

[midds]

Just checked the odds and we're as big as 33/1 to go down.

 

Personally I don't think we'll go down at this stage but that's exceptional odds because we will be dragged into the bottom 6. If we go into a proper tailspin then I wouldn't rule it out totally.