Frazzle Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Everyone with Bournemouth on 34 points? Would mean 6 points from 12 games, after 18 from their last 12. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ketsbaia Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 http://s22.postimg.org/mwrfbgkxt/table.png Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMTEX Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Everyone with Bournemouth on 34 points? Would mean 6 points from 12 games, after 18 from their last 12. They have some pretty difficult games coming like. Man Utd, Chelsea, Lpool, City, Tottenham AND Newcastle away. They've not exactly been in great form in the last month or so. The teams they've beaten have been pretty shite too. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaizero Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I feel like mine ended up realistic. I am surprised http://i.imgur.com/MvVdXrZ.png Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenBartonCentrePartin Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It'll be confirmed way before the season's over. http://s29.postimg.org/dtva9j5pj/Screen_Shot_2016_02_16_at_20_29_08.png Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ketsbaia Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
timeEd32 Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 It'll be confirmed way before the season's over. http://s29.postimg.org/dtva9j5pj/Screen_Shot_2016_02_16_at_20_29_08.png 2 points? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
WarrenBartonCentrePartin Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Aye. We're rank. Triumphant draws at home to Bournemouth and away at Villa. Had our usual 3-0 dicking off the mackems in there anarl. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
SEMTEX Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I feel like mine ended up realistic. I am surprised http://i.imgur.com/MvVdXrZ.png You have Tottingham Hotspurs winning the league and you think it looks realistic? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-more Mag Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 I feel like mine ended up realistic. I am surprised http://i.imgur.com/MvVdXrZ.png You have Tottingham Hotspurs winning the league and you think it looks realistic? Spreadsheets! I'm far too prepared for this draft. 77 players tracked and ranked in their various positions with max spending limits on the lot. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Altamullan Posted February 16, 2016 Share Posted February 16, 2016 Aww, he was happier when he had more hair. http://s.telegraph.co.uk/graphics/TimelineGenerator/bin/img/1433941277498/Steve%20On%20Pitch.jpg Gregory's Girl or what! "It's only a game" "A game! Eight games in a row you've lost" "Can't lose them all..." Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bimpy474 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 http://i.imgur.com/p8pnnFB.png Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrmojorisin75 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 http://i.imgur.com/p8pnnFB.png Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigfella Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Pos Team Pld GD Pts 1 Leicester 38 32 78 2 Tottenham 38 36 76 3 Man City 38 39 75 4 Arsenal 38 29 75 5 Chelsea 38 13 60 6 Liverpool 38 12 59 7 Man Utd 38 12 58 8 Watford 38 6 58 9 West Ham 38 6 56 10 Everton 38 13 53 11 Southampton 38 10 53 12 Stoke 38 -9 53 13 West Brom 38 -17 43 14 Bournmth 38 -17 41 15 C Palace 38 -13 40 16 Swansea 38 -18 38 17 Newcastle 38 -39 37 18 Sunderland 38 -20 35 19 Norwich 38 -30 31 20 Aston Villa 38 -45 20 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
frankpingel Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 That would be perfect scenario bigfella, makems down, us just safe and Leicester winning league. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Perfect scenario we'd finish above Palace as well. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
bigfella Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 That would be perfect scenario bigfella, makems down, us just safe and Leicester winning league. Yep, I'd take that right now, didn't check the table as I was going either. And I had us to get our traditional derby day humping as well. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Impossibly Daft Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I could see Chelsea making the top 6 tbh. I dunno, they're definitely on track for top half but it would take some awful form from Southampton, Liverpool and West Ham for them to get top 6. I think they'll end up about 8th. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Altamullan Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 Can't figure out how to show predicted end of season table but I had Arsenal winning on 79pts, (Spurs 78, Man City 74, Leicester 73). Us on 39 pts in 16th, followed by Swansea 33, Sunderland 31, Norwich 30 and Villa 17 (!!). First look at Sports Predictor website, thanks for sharing the link. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mattoon Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I had us sitting 14th too, albeit not by many points, it's going to be really tight at the bottom with what run ins some of those teams have, I had Leicester just missing out to Man City who clinch it after mauling us closely followed by Arsenal and Tottenham. I put us to lose the derby too but it wasn't enough to save the Mackems. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
timeEd32 Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I have Arsenal winning the title on GD after Leicester stumbles on the final day at Stamford Bridge. mackems, Norwich, and Villa down. We barely survive. My observations after going through that highly flawed exercise: Barring a monumental collapse (not out of the question given the pressure and lack of experience), I don't see how Leicester finishes worse than 3rd. Remarkable. Seems very likely Chelsea finish in the top 7. I don't see any hope for Norwich. They will finish 19th. The derby will very likely decide whether us or the mackems finish higher, and will likely determine who gets relegated. We will probably be in the relegation zone until at least the derby and possibly into April. Going to be a serious test of nerves. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Bailey Posted February 17, 2016 Share Posted February 17, 2016 I have Arsenal winning the title on GD after Leicester stumbles on the final day at Stamford Bridge. mackems, Norwich, and Villa down. We barely survive. My observations after going through that highly flawed exercise: Barring a monumental collapse (not out of the question given the pressure and lack of experience), I don't see how Leicester finishes worse than 3rd. Remarkable. Seems very likely Chelsea finish in the top 7. I don't see any hope for Norwich. They will finish 19th. The derby will very likely decide whether us or the mackems finish higher, and will likely determine who gets relegated. We will probably be in the relegation zone until at least the derby and possibly into April. Going to be a serious test of nerves. These are the reasons I have us going down quicker than if we were behind the Happy Gardens takeaway. No fight, spirit or guts in most of our lot and they will buckle under the pressure and the non guidance of our prat of a manager Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pata Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 We've spent most of the season in the bottom 3 yet people have us at 6 and are confident we will survived, the facts and evidence suggests otherwise People not understanding the number in this thread has been a pet hate of mine for seasons now. 6 means people think we are 60% likely to go down, that's not very confident. You can get 2.25-2.32 from the bookies that we go down. The 7-10 camp should put all their savings on that and print money. I'm at a 7. So apparently, I think there is a 70% chance we'll go down. According to you, I should go and put thousands of pounds on us getting relegated at around 5/4. How is the terrible tipping line business? You winning much? I'll keep my money in the bank, cheers. Ooh, look at Richie Rich here. To be honest I don't know how much money you have in the bank but it's poor form to openly brag about it. 5/4 needs about 45% probability, that's terrible value for you with your 70% expectancy? Guaranteed to be the bet of your life, no matter the outcome. For the other questions, I don't have a tipping line business or bet much outside some major events. You win some and you lose some. I hope you don't bet much. (Hope I'm not getting whooshed, your post was so tragic that I wouldn't know what to bet on at 5/4.) Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lush Vlad Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 I was more in awe at how serious you appeared to be taking it?! I wasn't deadly serious, no. I was hoping you weren't, either? It's a light hearted system, where people are kind of saying on a scale of 1-10, how worried are you about relegation? You've come in and suggested people should be putting a load of money on us getting relegated, because they 'personally' think it is quite likely to happen? I've quite often fancied teams to win games, or thought a both teams to score bet, was nailed on. Funnily enough, I didn't go and withdraw my savings, to bet on them and 'print money'.... So because I apparently think there is a 70% chance that we'll go down. That means it's going to happen and is worth a large bet? Sorry, I'm still failing to see your logic? A bet always carries a significant risk, regardless of odds. Especially if you start lumping on short priced things and favs. L'Ami Serge got turned over at 1/5 on Saturday, in a three horse race, by an 8/1 shot. I would have said prior to the race, that there is about a 90% chance of the horse winning. Sure glad I didn't spunk a load of money on that, just because of how sure I was. I don't bet a great deal, no. But I'm glad I don't use your percentage system, to guide me. Oh and no. Not really Richie Rich. I might have 2 grand in a joint savings account. Sorry if that came across as me trying to boast about having loads of money. I can assure you I do not Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pata Posted February 18, 2016 Share Posted February 18, 2016 You see the post I originally quoted? Fundamental lack of understanding about the relegationometer while questioning other people's choices. That pisses me off as I said earlier. Obviously (?) the 'bet your savings on this' is hyperbole. Doesn't change the fact that getting 5/4 on something you think is 70-100% likely to happen is basically printing money. It's not my own percentage system, it's fucking common sense. Betting is based on probability and odds! Short priced favourite can still be a good price and betting on them actually lowers the variance. L'Ami Serge would have been a good bet (regardless of the outcome) at 1/5 if you expected him/her to have a 90% chance to win before the race. Losing that bet is just variance but you would be making money in the long run as it was clearly +EV. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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