TRon Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Probably 3 from 8 now. It's a massive IF, but should all 3 home teams win tomorrow, the table would close up again and drag it back to 11 teams. Except one of those home games is us and we are playing Man U. Unless we get a ref handing us a penalty and a player from the opposition getting sent off like Watford benefitted from last week I don't see us winning. The list of teams who can reallistically go down is growing worryingly smaller. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Altamullan Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 The predicted total points looks like being enough; if we stay behind the predictions, by the same margin (achieve 74%), then we’re looking at a 38 point haul, rather than 51 points. (25 Feb, update). Thought I would 'classify' and colour code our fixtures according to finishing position last year of opposition treating the top seven (15 point gap between Everton 7th and Southampton 8th) as RED (least likely to beat), next six as AMBER, and remaining four, plus promoted sides as GREEN. To make this pseudo-scientific cluster-f*** even more elaborate, opposition moves up or down a category depending if home or away if we are playing a RED team at SJP it becomes an AMBER fixture; and a GREEN team away becomes an AMBER fixture (I know this ignores our relatively better away form, last year). Point is (other than I am bored and NUFC obsessed...) this should give, based on last year's form/squads, a sense of the relative difficulty of different periods of the season. So: August: Spurs H PRED 1 Lost ACT 0 Huddersfield A PRED 2 Lost ACT 0 West Ham H PRED 5 Won ACT 3 September: Swansea A PRED 6 Won ACT 6 Stoke H PRED 9 Won ACT 9 Brighton A PRED 10 Lost ACT 9 Liverpool H PRED 11 Drew ACT 10 October: Southampton A PRED 11 Drew ACT 11 Palace H PRED 14 Won ACT 14 Burnley A PRED 15 Lost ACT 14 November: Bournemouth H PRED 18 Lost ACT 14 Man Utd A PRED 18 Lost ACT 14 Watford H PRED 21 Lost ACT 14 WBA A PRED 22 Drew ACT 15 December: Chelsea A PRED 22 Lost ACT 15 Leicester H PRED 25 Lost ACT 15 Everton H PRED 26 Lost ACT 15 Arsenal A PRED 26 Lost ACT 15 West Ham A PRED 26 Won ACT 18 Man City H PRED 27 Lost ACT 18 Brighton H PRED 30 Drew ACT 19 January: Stoke A PRED 30 Won ACT 22 Swansea H PRED 33 Drew ACT 23 Man City A PRED 33 Lost ACT 23 Burnley H PRED 36 Drew ACT 24 February: Palace A PRED 37 Drew ACT 25 Man Utd H PRED 38 Won ACT 28[/b] Bournemouth A PRED 39 Drew ACT 29 March: Liverpool A PRED 39 Southampton H PRED 42 Spurs A PRED 42 Huddersfield H PRED 45 April: Leicester A PRED 45 Arsenal H PRED 46 Everton A PRED 46 WBA H PRED 49 May: Watford A PRED 50 Chelsea H PRED 51 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest chopey Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Win one lose one till the end of the season and we'll be sorted Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TRon Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Win one lose one till the end of the season and we'll be sorted I assume you're taking the piss given our form this season. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Twinport53 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Win the next 12 and we might scrape EL qualification. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Altamullan Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Win the next 12 and we might scrape EL qualification. I don’t want to appear greedy/delusional. So I’ll settle for a Leicester 2014-15: win 6, draw 2 of last 12. (They’d only won six prior to that as well, I think). Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TRon Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 There's going to be a lot more surprise results going into the last third of the season with a bunch of teams having nothing to play for. We'll have to get three wins from somewhere if we are going to stay up, no one is doing us any favours. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest covmag Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 There's going to be a lot more surprise results going into the last third of the season with a bunch of teams having nothing to play for. We'll have to get three wins from somewhere if we are going to stay up, no one is doing us any favours. hate being like this. nothing ever goes for us when we need a few results to help and we seem incapable of digging ourselves out of it every time. today i'm not feeling good. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
leffe186 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Win the next 12 and we might scrape EL qualification. I don’t want to appear greedy/delusional. So I’ll settle for a Leicester 2014-15: win 6, draw 2 of last 12. (They’d only won six prior to that as well, I think). You got ten games right, at least. Your predictions for the next twelve would leave you on 39 points. Would you take that? Remaining predictions - wins against Soton (H), Huddersfield (H), WBA (H); draws against Man U (H), Bournemouth (A), Arsenal (H), Watford (A), Chelsea (H). Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Altamullan Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Personally, I’d snap your hand off. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest covmag Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Win the next 12 and we might scrape EL qualification. I don’t want to appear greedy/delusional. So I’ll settle for a Leicester 2014-15: win 6, draw 2 of last 12. (They’d only won six prior to that as well, I think). You got ten games right, at least. Your predictions for the next twelve would leave you on 39 points. Would you take that? Remaining predictions - wins against Soton (H), Huddersfield (H), WBA (H); draws against Man U (H), Bournemouth (A), Arsenal (H), Watford (A), Chelsea (H). in a heart beat Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ketsbaia Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 My predictor had Huddersfield winning this and still going down on 35...... but this doesn't feel good at all. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
M4 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 We're paying for the last two results here. We need a saviour this afternoon. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlackandWhite Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 We are so fucked. Nowhere near the quality to dig ourselves out the hole we are in. And we won’t be coming back up in a flash this time either. Can see us getting into, and losing, the play-offs next year. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Geordie Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 '8' for me, today. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Si Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest firetotheworks Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Still a 5. I had all of these predictions as they are for the weekend. Unfortunately I also predicted a Newcastle win. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Bailey Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 5 at the moment still. After today probs notching up to a 6/7 Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gdm Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Think if we can get the keeper, Kenedy and slimani in the team all at same time we’ll pick up enough points Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Decky Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 4 wins to 40 points. I don't think 40 will be safe this year the way it's going. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
toon25 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Think if we can get the keeper, Kenedy and slimani in the team all at same time we’ll pick up enough points Agreed. We’ve got more threat on the wings since Kenedy came in, we just need a striker that we know can finish. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
samptime29 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 What a rollercoaster of a weekend Massive win obviously, but pleasing that it brings Watford, Bournemouth, West Ham back into the scramble. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
timeEd32 Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 Can’t get an unexpected win they said. Can’t win at home they said. It’s so tight in the bottom half, but we just made a lot of clubs feel uncomfortable with that. Need Liverpool and Chelsea to do what they should do. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skeletor Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 I'll revise up to an 8 on the basis of home win, beating a top 10 side and Dubravka emerging as our defensive lord and saviour. Hope Slimani has a similar impact to the other 2 loanees. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
afar Posted February 11, 2018 Share Posted February 11, 2018 It's weird to think that 10 more points from 11 games (which should be more than possible) will get us to 38. But that might not be enough. This weekend could kill WBA, they really need to win their game because if they don't they are 7 points adrift, that's way too much at this stage. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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