The Bard of Byker Posted May 4, 2022 Share Posted May 4, 2022 And if Leeds lose, they could only catch us on (a very unlikely) swing in goal difference? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Keegans Export Posted May 4, 2022 Share Posted May 4, 2022 24 minutes ago, gdm said: Surely if only Leeds lose they are unlikely to catch us unless there’s a 19 goal swing in 3 games Yeah but if we're talking about it being mathematically impossible for them to catch up then .com are right Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
sushimonster85 Posted May 4, 2022 Share Posted May 4, 2022 We're safe. But I get worried when people talk about a 19 goal swing in three games. Sounds huge, but do remember Man City are trying to close/beat Liverpool's GD edge... not saying they're going to hump us 19-0, but 4 or 5 isn't beyond the question. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDog Posted May 4, 2022 Share Posted May 4, 2022 Not sure if you guys are familiar with this site, I use it for American Football but it has a Premier League site also. Show how many losses would eliminate them from a table spot finish. http://www.playoffstatus.com/english-premier-league/epl-losing-magic-numbers.html Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hovagod Posted May 4, 2022 Share Posted May 4, 2022 2 hours ago, sushimonster85 said: We're safe. But I get worried when people talk about a 19 goal swing in three games. Sounds huge, but do remember Man City are trying to close/beat Liverpool's GD edge... not saying they're going to hump us 19-0, but 4 or 5 isn't beyond the question. At which point Leeds need to win by how many to whittle it down? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantail Breeze Posted May 4, 2022 Share Posted May 4, 2022 3 hours ago, sushimonster85 said: We're safe. But I get worried when people talk about a 19 goal swing in three games. Sounds huge, but do remember Man City are trying to close/beat Liverpool's GD edge... not saying they're going to hump us 19-0, but 4 or 5 isn't beyond the question. Worrying. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
54 Posted May 8, 2022 Share Posted May 8, 2022 God Leeds fixtures are horrendous... Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantail Breeze Posted May 8, 2022 Share Posted May 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, 54 said: God Leeds fixtures are horrendous... Chelsea are very beatable at the moment and they’ll have to if they want any chance of staying up. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Bonk Posted May 8, 2022 Share Posted May 8, 2022 It’s Leeds, it’s the perfect rise and fall. From them being fearless under Biesla, to hiring an inexperienced Jesse Marsch in hopes of turning it around, the story is all but written. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackie Broon Posted May 8, 2022 Share Posted May 8, 2022 5 minutes ago, 54 said: God Leeds fixtures are horrendous... No worse than Burnley's; Spurs away, Villa away (who just comfortably beat them at home) then us. They've had their caretaker manager bounce and won't get anything out of their next two. I could definitely see Leeds getting something from Chelsea at home. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
samptime29 Posted May 8, 2022 Share Posted May 8, 2022 Everton safe. I can easily see Burnley losing to Spurs, drawing to Villa and us and Leeds winning 1 of their last 3. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Decky Posted May 8, 2022 Share Posted May 8, 2022 Think Leeds will go after today's results. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gdm Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 18 hours ago, Decky said: Think Leeds will go after today's results. I think the opposite. Burnley have to play Villa who they’ve just been beaten by, spurs and I think we’ll beat them. Leeds play Chelsea 3 days before they play in a cup final and Brighton and Brentford will be tough but beatable. will go to the wire Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Izakaya Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 Could we still mathematically go down? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheInfiniteOdyssey Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 I think Leeds get to 39 points but I can’t see Burnley getting more than 37. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kid Icarus Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 Love how everyone's 'predictions' change every week like. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paullow Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation It's ridiculously tight. Burnley with the 'point' advantage of GD (which won't be overturned), but Leeds perhaps the slightly better fixtures, and perhaps a little bit of extra individual quality. If Arsenal beat Spurs on Thursday then that Spurs fixture doesn't look quite so tough for Burnley as Spurs will be guaranteed to finish 5th regardless of how they get on in their final 2 matches, although you'd still probably expect them to win. With Everton as long as 12/1 and with the remaining fixtures to maybe even threaten to get past us, I certainly won't be hoping Burnley beat us on the final day now, as I'd prefer Leeds to stay up out of the main 2 in question. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paullow Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 2 minutes ago, Izakaya said: Could we still mathematically go down? Yes, but it would take the most ridiculous sequence of events that you could ever think of Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gdm Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 (edited) 9 minutes ago, Kid Icarus said: Love how everyone's 'predictions' change every week like. Obviously it will when new results happen Everton winning two in a row obviously changes things and Burnley losing one of their most winnable games changes things Edited May 9, 2022 by gdm Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gdm Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 5 minutes ago, Paullow said: Yes, but it would take the most ridiculous sequence of events that you could ever think of Leeds can only catch us on goal difference with Leeds 14 goals worse off than us Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kid Icarus Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 1 minute ago, gdm said: Obviously it will when new results happen Aye, point being that the previous predictions were all shite. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paullow Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 It would take all of the following: Newcastle to lose to Arsenal and Burnley, probably by a margin of around 5 or 6 combined Leeds to beat Chelsea, Brighton, Brentford, probably by a margin of 8 or 9 combined (basically a swing of 14 goals in those 5 results between Leeds and Newcastle). Burnley to beat Spurs, Villa, Newcastle Everton to get 8+ points from Watford, Brentford, Palace, Arsenal, which maybe could happen Southampton to beat either Liverpool or Leicester, and make sure their GD remains better than ours, or 4 points Leicester to draw one of their last 4 matches Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
gdm Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 (edited) 13 minutes ago, Kid Icarus said: Aye, point being that the previous predictions were all shite. Aye Predictions are always shite. We’d all be millionaires if we could do it but it’s still fun to do Edited May 9, 2022 by gdm Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jack27 Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 11 minutes ago, Paullow said: It would take all of the following: Newcastle to lose to Arsenal and Burnley, probably by a margin of around 5 or 6 combined Leeds to beat Chelsea, Brighton, Brentford, probably by a margin of 8 or 9 combined (basically a swing of 14 goals in those 5 results between Leeds and Newcastle). Burnley to beat Spurs, Villa, Newcastle Everton to get 8+ points from Watford, Brentford, Palace, Arsenal, which maybe could happen Southampton to beat either Liverpool or Leicester, and make sure their GD remains better than ours, or 4 points Leicester to draw one of their last 4 matches Fuck, I'm worried now! Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
wormy Posted May 9, 2022 Share Posted May 9, 2022 4 hours ago, Paullow said: It would take all of the following: Newcastle to lose to Arsenal and Burnley, probably by a margin of around 5 or 6 combined Leeds to beat Chelsea, Brighton, Brentford, probably by a margin of 8 or 9 combined (basically a swing of 14 goals in those 5 results between Leeds and Newcastle). Burnley to beat Spurs, Villa, Newcastle Everton to get 8+ points from Watford, Brentford, Palace, Arsenal, which maybe could happen Southampton to beat either Liverpool or Leicester, and make sure their GD remains better than ours, or 4 points Leicester to draw one of their last 4 matches So you're saying.. there's a chance? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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