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7th-ometer


STM

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57 members have voted

  1. 1. Where will we finish?

    • 1st
      3
    • 2nd
      1
    • 3rd
      8
    • 4th
      15

This poll is closed to new votes


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We need at home 10 more wins & 2 more draws (32 points to go)

We need away from home 7 more wins & 1 more draw (22 points to go)

 

Nottingham Forest (H)- 3 points required - 3 points won (On track for 60 points)

Brighton (A) - 0 points required - 1 point won (On track for 61 points)

Manchester City (H) - 0 points required - 1 point won (On track for 62 points)

Wolves (A) - 0 points required - 1 point won (On track for 62 points)

Liverpool (A) - 0 points required - 0 points won (On track for 62 points)

Crystal Palace (H) - 3 points required

West Ham (A) - 0 points required

Bournemouth (H) - 3 points required

Fulham (A) - 3 points required

Brentford (H) - 3 points required

Manchester United (A) - 0 points required

Everton (H) - 3 points required

Spurs (A) - 0 points required

Aston Villa (H) - 3 points required

Southampton (A) - 3 points required

Chelsea (H) - 0 points required

Leicester (A) - 0 points required

Leeds (H) - 3 points required

Arsenal (A) - 0 points required

Fulham (H) - 3 points required

Crystal Palace (A) - 0 points required (originally 1 point required)

West Ham (H) - 1 point required

Bournemouth (A) - 3 points required

Liverpool (H) - 0 points required

Brighton (H) - 3 points required

Man City (A) - 0 points required

Wolves (H) - 3 points required

Nottingham Forest (A) - 3 points required

Manchester United (H) - 0 points required (originally 1 point required)

Brentford (A) - 1 point required

Aston Villa (A) - 3 points required

Spurs (H) - 0 points required

Everton (A) - 3 points required

Southampton (H) - 3 points required

Arsenal (H) - 0 points required

Leeds (A) - 3 points required

Leicester (H) - 1 point required

Chelsea (A) - 0 points required

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On 31/08/2022 at 08:09, buzza said:

I am dithering over my top seven prediction, our first eleven could certainly do it! The fact that two or more injuries seriously weakens us is food for thought...

 

7th-9th I reckon. As you say, injuries could play a crucial role. We certainly have a team which can challenge anybody when everyone is fully fit, but Shelvey and Krafth are big misses considering those are two areas where injuries could make a big difference.

 

Also clubs like Villa and West Ham have invested heavily in some real quality, although that could be mitigated by Gerrard pissing his squad off. 7th is definitely still on, but the Big Six looks further away after the spending of Arsenal and Spurs.

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We need at home 10 more wins & 1 more draw (31 points to go)

 

We need away from home 7 more wins & 1 more draw (22 points to go)

Back to being in track for bang on 60. Leicester at home changes from 1 point to 3 points needed.

 

Nottingham Forest (H)- 3 points required - 3 points won (On track for 60 points)

Brighton (A) - 0 points required - 1 point won (On track for 61 points)

Manchester City (H) - 0 points required - 1 point won (On track for 62 points)

Wolves (A) - 0 points required - 1 point won (On track for 62 points)

Liverpool (A) - 0 points required - 0 points won (On track for 62 points)

Crystal Palace (H) - 3 points required - 1 point won (On track for 60 points)

West Ham (A) - 0 points required

Bournemouth (H) - 3 points required

Fulham (A) - 3 points required

Brentford (H) - 3 points required

Manchester United (A) - 0 points required

Everton (H) - 3 points required

Spurs (A) - 0 points required

Aston Villa (H) - 3 points required

Southampton (A) - 3 points required

Chelsea (H) - 0 points required

Leicester (A) - 0 points required

Leeds (H) - 3 points required

Arsenal (A) - 0 points required

Fulham (H) - 3 points required

Crystal Palace (A) - 0 points required (originally 1 point required)

West Ham (H) - 1 point required

Bournemouth (A) - 3 points required

Liverpool (H) - 0 points required

Brighton (H) - 3 points required

Man City (A) - 0 points required

Wolves (H) - 3 points required

Nottingham Forest (A) - 3 points required

Manchester United (H) - 0 points required (originally 1 point required)

Brentford (A) - 1 point required

Aston Villa (A) - 3 points required

Spurs (H) - 0 points required

Everton (A) - 3 points required

Southampton (H) - 3 points required

Arsenal (H) - 0 points required

Leeds (A) - 3 points required

Leicester (H) - 3 points required (was 1 point)

Chelsea (A) - 0 points required

 

 

Edited by Optimistic Nut

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First gameweek where I've felt like we've dropped points, (Liverpool and City were free shots).

 

Soooo frustrated that we have basically lost 3 of our best players, 3 weeks in a row. I hope the time comes around where we go away to some of the sides in full strength and they are missing players.

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46 minutes ago, STM said:

First gameweek where I've felt like we've dropped points, (Liverpool and City were free shots).

 

Soooo frustrated that we have basically lost 3 of our best players, 3 weeks in a row. I hope the time comes around where we go away to some of the sides in full strength and they are missing players.

 

Think we need at least 2 from Bruno, Maxi, Wilson & Isak in the team at any one time. Even just one of those with Isak today and we win.

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On +2 points and +8 goal difference in like for like results from last season (with Forest in for Norwich).

 

Upcoming games we got a draw at West Ham, drew with Bournemouth (Watford) at home and beat Fulham (Burnley) on the road. So we're looking to improve on five points.

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C09D0578-C8AF-4A00-A92D-A3839CFB7065.thumb.jpeg.43b257375d55691bfd0a76c7290c0a6a.jpeg
 

As described in more detail back in June, the chart takes the number of games per month (A5, S3, O6, 2 each in Nov and Dec, J3, F4, M3, 6 in Apr, and 4 in May) strength of opposition, plus home and away variation, to predict how a ‘top ten kind of season’ is most likely to progress. The white bars showing expected cumulative points total each month. The blue line showing actual points accrued.
 

We were one point ahead at end of August (6 instead of predicted 5). Still two more September games to go to reach the predicted 11 points. 

 

51 points secured 10th place last year. 59 in 2020-21 and 54, in 2019-20. 

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If we can stay in and around the top 10 until January, strengthen well in that transfer window, and we could push for the top 7/6. As things stand right now, however, we just don’t score enough goals even with ASAM, Bruno and Wilson in the team. Hopefully that will change. 

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6 hours ago, cubaricho said:

If we want to finish in the top 7 we just simply have to start playing better and taking it out of the refs' hands completely. Don't even give them a chance to fuck us anymore.

 

I'd say our performances have deserved at least 3 wins this season. 

 

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Just now, Optimistic Nut said:

 

I'd say our performances have deserved at least 3 wins this season. 

 

Palace and Liverpool should have been 4 points at least!

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Just now, HTT II said:

Palace and Liverpool should have been 4 points at least!

 

We battered Wolves for the majority too. Can't remember the last time we finished with stats like that away from home. I'd say 10 points would be about right based on how we've played plus referee decisions and that's being conservative.

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3 minutes ago, Optimistic Nut said:

 

I'd say our performances have deserved at least 3 wins this season. 

 

Agreed, also pretty confident we will start getting the wins going forward, we are playing to well for it not to happen.

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1 minute ago, Optimistic Nut said:

 

We battered Wolves for the majority too. Can't remember the last time we finished with stats like that away from home. I'd say 10 points would be about right based on how we've played plus referee decisions and that's being conservative.

We could effectively have had an extra 7 points at this stage of the season for me. I’m happy with our haul right now though to be honest, we will not lose many games, but we need to convert draws into wins soon.

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