Jump to content

The TopFourometer™ (2023/24)  

629 members have voted

  1. 1. How likely are we to finish top four this season? 0 = nee chance, 5 = can’t call it, 10 = nailed on marra



Recommended Posts

Dunno why but I barely worry about anyone else now, just really enjoy all things Newcastle.

 

Come the business end I definitely start paying more attention as it becomes more pertinent. But I'm just enjoying the ride and love taking it game by game rather than worrying about what's going on around us.

 

Also, I love you Eddie Howe.

 

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, Ketsbaia said:

Scary to think that Villa are only now about to enter a great run of fixtures. As if they weren't already having a great time.


They have only played against 3 teams that finished in the top 10 last season so it will even out.

Link to post
Share on other sites

If we'd hung on to take 3 points against the bin dippers we'd be in a title race now, even considering a tough start to the season.

We still could be in one.

 

If you offered me 6th, and European progression I'd take it right now.

 

 

Edited by Karjala

Link to post
Share on other sites

11 minutes ago, Ketsbaia said:

Scary to think that Villa are only now about to enter a great run of fixtures. As if they weren't already having a great time.


Would hardly say that Spurs, Man City and Arsenal in their next seven games is a “great run of fixtures”.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Just now, NSG said:


Would hardly say that Spurs, Man City and Arsenal in their next seven games is a “great run of fixtures”.

4 of the next 5 are Luton, Forest, Fulham, Bournemouth so I think that's long enough to define a 'run'

Link to post
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Matt1892 said:

I don’t think City and Arsenal have looked as dominant this season and with more clubs up there competing I think the league will be won in less points than last year, I also think we are capable of picking up more points than last year, considering we drew 14 games in the league last season.

We got 10 points iirc from Chelsea and Spurs. Thats a tall order to repeat this season. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

With the way things are looking at the moment, does anyone else feel like maybe we are moving away from a top 6 format into more of a top 10 format?

 

With the traditional top 6 plus us, villa, Brighton, and west ham competing for the top spots more evenly going foward?

Link to post
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, The Prophet said:

Villa are a very good, well coached outfit. Whether they can hit 70 points over the course of a season is different matter.

 

We are averaging over 2 points a game in the 12 months (as of last week) since Emery came. I know it's not the same exactly, but it is a good indicator.

Link to post
Share on other sites

39 minutes ago, t00nt00n313 said:

With the way things are looking at the moment, does anyone else feel like maybe we are moving away from a top 6 format into more of a top 10 format?

 

With the traditional top 6 plus us, villa, Brighton, and west ham competing for the top spots more evenly going foward?

 

It is getting much, much more competitive at the top end, as the likes of us and you are starting to look like fulfilling potential after spending a decade stinking of death, there's Brighton also looking decent as the wild card too, and even Spurs looking decent.

 

It's way more interesting than watching the 'big four' engaging in a circle-wank year after year.

Link to post
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, NE27 said:

Dunno why but I barely worry about anyone else now, just really enjoy all things Newcastle.

 

 

 

You know, that's the best way to be.

 

I don't look around us and thinking "oh they're doing this, and they're doing that" but just enjoy a prolonged period of being really good rather than the preceeding very, very long period of being shit.

Link to post
Share on other sites

44 minutes ago, t00nt00n313 said:

With the way things are looking at the moment, does anyone else feel like maybe we are moving away from a top 6 format into more of a top 10 format?

 

With the traditional top 6 plus us, villa, Brighton, and west ham competing for the top spots more evenly going foward?

 

The traditional top 6 were all capable of sustained title challenges and have vastly superior commercial incomes. Us, Villa, Brighton and West Ham are not at those levels. Fortunately Spurs, Man U and Chelsea have been taking turns in fucking things up recently, opening up 3rd-6th somewhat. Think they're still capable of closing out those positions more often than not.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Stats stats etc, but our expected points total is 19, joint top with Man City (who's expected points is also 19).

 

It can sometimes feel like we're lacking in areas, but we consistently create chances while giving very little at the other end. More so than any other side in the leage, which although not the full story, it's not worthless info either.

 

Our highest xA was Villa, who had an xG of 1.49. We've never had a game so far this season where we've been expected to concede more than 1. We've been expected to score 2 or more in 7 games.

 

 

 

 

Edited by Hanshithispantz

Link to post
Share on other sites

I think if any team has a bad blip or poor run of form this year, there will be plenty of others to take advantage. So it will all be about being consistent and hoping injuries and suspensions don't hurt us too badly. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

40 minutes ago, Hanshithispantz said:

Stats stats etc, but our expected points total is 19, joint top with Man City (who's expected points is also 19).

 

It can sometimes feel like we're lacking in areas, but we consistently create chances while giving very little at the other end. More so than any other side in the leage, which although not the full story, it's not worthless info either.

 

Our highest xA was Villa, who had an xG of 1.49. We've never had a game so far this season where we've been expected to concede more than 1. We've been expected to score 2 or more in 7 games.

 

Aye I'm not usually one to obsess over stats but our underlying numbers have been really good throughout so far.

 

Even the one comfortable defeat at Brighton where we were terrible relative to what we are used to seeing was actually weirdly close in terms of xG - far closer than last year where we got away with a lucky 0-0.

Link to post
Share on other sites

One thing I would say, if Aston Villa lost Ollie Watkins, I don't think they have anyone to fill the void.

 

Although we have lost Harvey Barnes, and Tonali is likely to be suspended. I feel we have options for most areas should we lose a player here or there. Our options off the bench are miles better these days.

 

 

Edited by mighty__mag

Link to post
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, mighty__mag said:

One thing I would say, if Aston Villa lost Ollie Watkins, I don't think they have anyone to fill the void.

 

Although we have lost Harvey Barnes, and Tonali is likely to be suspended. I feel we have options for most areas should we lose a player here or there. Our options off the bench are miles better these days.

 

 

 

 

Same can be said for us with Bruno though. Every team (aside from City) have that one player who if injured for a prolonged period would spell disaster for their season.

Link to post
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, Mazzy said:

 

Same can be said for us with Bruno though. Every team (aside from City) have that one player who if injured for a prolonged period would spell disaster for their season.

City has been mediocre without Rodri too.

Link to post
Share on other sites

4 hours ago, Mazzy said:

 

Same can be said for us with Bruno though. Every team (aside from City) have that one player who if injured for a prolonged period would spell disaster for their season.

 

I thought ours would be Botman, luckily I was wrong.

Link to post
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, KingArthur said:

City has been mediocre without Rodri too.

 

Yes perhaps he is their guy. But that could also be down to them having their usual start of season blip before going onto a 18 game winning run.

Link to post
Share on other sites

11 hours ago, brummie said:

 

We are averaging over 2 points a game in the 12 months (as of last week) since Emery came. I know it's not the same exactly, but it is a good indicator.

 

Aye, I think you're in a similar position to ourselves. Great coach, good squad but could become derailed by injuries or a cup run.

 

It's not a slight against Villa, but only two teams in the last twenty years have broken the big six and finished top four. Both of our clubs are setting up nicely to do so, but it'll take a massive effort from either.

 

 

Edited by The Prophet

Link to post
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, Mazzy said:

 

Same can be said for us with Bruno though. Every team (aside from City) have that one player who if injured for a prolonged period would spell disaster for their season.


i think if we lost Watkins he’d move things around, specifically Diaby. Not ideal though but like you said, losing players to injury is never good. 
 

worth noting we’ve already had horrendous injury problems - Buendia did his acl four days before the season started, Mings did his on the first game, Jacob Ramsey (who is mega important to us) broke his foot in the summer, came back two weeks ago and reinjured himself in his first match, and Alex Moreno, who did brilliantly last season, has been out since May. 
 

Mings, Moreno and Ramsey is most of our left side. 
 

I think both us and you will find it tough going in terms of depth in the new year when European games start to bite. 
 

Still, nice problem to have. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...