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Newcastle United 4-1 Manchester United - 13/04/2025


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Just now, Froggy said:

 

Your board does a good job of moving players on before they become duds, that's for sure. :lol: We just give them a new contract.

I mean, until recently (or currently) we still had / have Jamal Lewis, Isaac Hayden, Jeff Hendrick and others on the books, so it’s definitely a more recent phenomenon 

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9 minutes ago, Sempiternal said:

I like Yoro, I think he will be really good in time. The rest of the squad is very poor though. 

Completely disagree on this (and realise I’m in the minority). Every time I’ve watched him I’ve thought he looks a liability and cannot believe he was tipped for Real Madrid. I know he’s young, was injured, new to league etc so I could very well be completely wrong, but look at the lad from City who (I think) is younger, played less games before his move, also from the French league and cost a lot less, and I would pick him every time (not just because we wanted to sign him too!)

 

edit - Khusanov actually 18 months older. But, born on 29th Feb, so on a technicality he’s younger as he’s only actually had 5 birthdays. 

 

 

Edited by PRL

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There aren't many Man Yoo players I would take tbh. Mainoo obviously has those raw ingredients and Howe would turn him into a superstar I'm sure. Garnacho too if Big Joe was allowed to lump him one every time he behaved like a cunt. The rest are either past it now or just don't have it.

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8 minutes ago, Big Geordie said:

Is it just me who thinks that XG is a steaming pile of shite? ???

 

xG is the most useless "analytical" stat of all mainstream "analytical" stats. There are most certainly some stats that genuinely provide valuable insight and data, but none of those gets bandied about among your average supporter/pundit.

 

 

Posted this on the last page as well, but was pretty much at the end of the page so reposting it in case interested people didn't get a chance to look at it. 

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3 minutes ago, Kaizero said:

 

xG is the most useless "analytical" stat of all mainstream "analytical" stats. There are most certainly some stats that genuinely provide valuable insight and data, but none of those gets bandied about among your average supporter/pundit.

 

 

Posted this on the last page as well, but was pretty much at the end of the page so reposting it in case interested people didn't get a chance to look at it. 

Had a watch. Interesting. I guess the bit that gets me is the big old list of things that have to be considered when deciding xG, then you have a decision being made I’m assuming manually to assign a random percentage based on all those stats, often within a matter of seconds of it occurring if BBC site updates are industry standard. 
 

I completely agree it’s a useful directional indicator for a match, but beyond that I don’t think there’s much real science to it at all. 

 

 

Edited by PRL

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XG is always referred to as a stat, but what’s it actually based on? It’s stupid that Isak and, say, Burn are giving the same percentage chance of scoring from any one given position. Plus, you know, some goalkeepers are better than others. You can’t quantify a chance. I’m not violently opposed to it, I don’t think people that find it useful are virgins, but I fail to see much practical benefit to it. 

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38 minutes ago, Sempiternal said:

And Harry Amass will be quality, best full back I saw at u18 level. Really think he will turn out great 

Had a lovely moment going forward. His main issue was physicality as he got bullied off the ball several times but that’s to be expected at his age 

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24 minutes ago, Hovagod said:

XG is always referred to as a stat, but what’s it actually based on? It’s stupid that Isak and, say, Burn are giving the same percentage chance of scoring from any one given position. Plus, you know, some goalkeepers are better than others. You can’t quantify a chance. I’m not violently opposed to it, I don’t think people that find it useful are virgins, but I fail to see much practical benefit to it. 

 

The stat is independent of those variables, meaning you have to take that into account. Good players outscore their XG, that's a sign of being a good player. Same idea for goalkeepers.

 

The practicalities are exactly that, I think. It's kinda like saying if every player in the league had x chance, how many times would it go in? Strikers outperform, defenders underperform. 

 

I think the weird thing about xG is that the numbers don't agree with our instincts, but really even the best strikers in the league (Isak, Haaland, Salah) miss presentable chances every single game. Even if that's 1 chance missed, 1 chance scored (which is probably what shit-hot Isak is doing atm), you can easily see how fairly easy looking chances can be 0.5 xG.

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25 minutes ago, gbandit said:

Had a lovely moment going forward. His main issue was physicality as he got bullied off the ball several times but that’s to be expected at his age 

Definitely. Once he adjusts and gets bigger/stronger he’s going to be great I think. I’d suggest buying him but we are fine for full backs. 

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28 minutes ago, gbandit said:

Had a lovely moment going forward. His main issue was physicality as he got bullied off the ball several times but that’s to be expected at his age 

I think Wor Fabby pinched his nips at one point!

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1 minute ago, Jimburst said:

 

The stat is independent of those variables, meaning you have to take that into account. Good players outscore their XG, that's a sign of being a good player. Same idea for goalkeepers.

 

The practicalities are exactly that, I think. It's kinda like saying if every player in the league had x chance, how many times would it go in? Strikers outperform, defenders underperform. 

 

I think the weird thing about xG is that the numbers don't agree with our instincts, but really even the best strikers in the league (Isak, Haaland, Salah) miss presentable chances every single game. Even if that's 1 chance missed, 1 chance scored (which is probably what shit-hot Isak is doing atm), you can easily see how fairly easy looking chances can be 0.5 xG.

 

xG are literally the definition of stats based on nothing but "vibes". The incomprehensible amount of various unique data points that would need to be calculated against a non-existent baseline makes xG meaningless. No professional club, scout, agent, data analyst or coach makes use of xG. There's a vast ocean of other analytical stats that actually mean something to use instead.

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Just now, Jimburst said:

Is it not, "when a shot is taken from this position, how often is it scored?"

If you watch the video above, skip to the last minute, it tells you all the considerations supposedly used. Makes no sense and shows completely subjective and pretty much pointless beyond directional indicator.

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3 minutes ago, Kaizero said:

 

xG are literally the definition of stats based on nothing but "vibes". The incomprehensible amount of various unique data points that would need to be calculated against a non-existent baseline makes xG meaningless. No professional club, scout, agent, data analyst or coach makes use of xG. There's a vast ocean of other analytical stats that actually mean something to use instead.

Do you think they put xG on MotD for scouts like? 

 

xG is a vaguely accurate marker that people can use alongside possession, SoT, shot map's etc to get a general gist of how a game went. 

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10 minutes ago, joeyt said:

Seemed to be loads of slips yesterday, felt like the pitch had been watered too much

 

Murphy made a beeline for the groundsman at HT to tell him how wet it was

 

You got a goal from it. :lol:

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4 hours ago, Froggy said:

 

What about the 30 year old, third choice keeper that cost ÂŁ20m and is on ÂŁ50k a week? Just a PSR write off? :lol:

 

Well sell him for more than that in the summer to Saudi, and no one can say shit, that's his market value. 

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