Really do think Stoke will go. They seem to insist on playing Jese up top and he just isn't getting goals. Their defence is pretty average nowadays too, they could normally bank on around 10 clean sheets a season to guarantee them 10-20 points but I don't see them getting so many this year.
Do think NUFC will survive fairly comfortably too. We're only 7~ wins away from staying up as it is.