The Relegationometer™ (2023/24)

[Miggys First Goal]

It's such a great feeling knowing that this thread will never involve us again.

[HaydnNUFC]

If Everton lose against us and against Leicester next Monday they're going to go imo. Leeds look shocking but Everton have won 3 away games in 2 years, and their home game after us is Man City.

 

Fair play to Smith if he gets Leicester out of this. They looked gone 2 weeks ago.

[Paullow]

https://www.oddschecker.com/football/english/premier-league/relegation

 

Bournemouth do have Southampton and Leeds coming up, and Everton later on, so if they all went badly, they could maybe be dragged back into it, but it's kind of looking like 3 from 5, or rather 1 from 3 looking at the latest odds.

 

It'll still be Man City, and they'll still have a great team out, and want to win, and while they can't have secured the title by the time they play Everton, they could easily be 5/6/7 points clear with a game in hand and Arsenal only 3 games left (of course they could also lose to Arsenal and the title race be wide open), plus the match in sandwiched right in between their Real Madrid tie, so it might not be quite as daunting as it could / should be for Everton. That's kind of why I want the title race to go be live for as long as possible - Man City also have Brighton away on the second last day of the season and if they have the league in the bag, an FA Cup final and a CL final on their mind, again, that might be an opportunity for Brighton.

 

Probably looking at things a bit too closely here , but it is amazing how one set of results could have a major impact on another fixtures / European / relegation permutations down the line. Like today, that Burnley away match for QPR would be less intimidating had Burnley been in a legit promotion race.

[The Bonk]

I’m hoping there’s about 5 teams in the mix on the final day. Love the drama of the drop! It’s too bad Southampton didn’t beat Arsenal, that would have been extra spicy. Still, they aren’t out of it if they play like that the remainder of the season.

[Miercoles]

4 hours ago, HaydnNUFC said:

 Everton have won 3 away games in 2 years

 

Whoa.

 

That's some Alan Pardew three years without scoring from a corner level shit.

[Ace]

3 hours ago, The Bonk said:

I’m hoping there’s about 5 teams in the mix on the final day. Love the drama of the drop! It’s too bad Southampton didn’t beat Arsenal, that would have been extra spicy. Still, they aren’t out of it if they play like that the remainder of the season.

I would like that but I’d also love Sky to have a last day with no drama to hype. 

[nufcjb]

7 hours ago, HaydnNUFC said:

If Everton lose against us and against Leicester next Monday they're going to go imo. Leeds look shocking but Everton have won 3 away games in 2 years, and their home game after us is Man City.

 

Fair play to Smith if he gets Leicester out of this. They looked gone 2 weeks ago.6

Would love that mind. 3 away games in 2 years, we'd probably win the league next season.  Wonder how much it cost them paying the PL to get that sorted.

[The Bonk]

10 hours ago, Ace said:

I would like that but I’d also love Sky to have a last day with no drama to hype. 

I’m luckily not exposed to that nonsense. 

[KetsbaiaIsBald]

18 hours ago, HaydnNUFC said:

Leeds look shocking but Everton have won 3 away games in 2 years

I had no clue the record was that bad.  I remember us having a really bad record away from a while but I don't think it was close to this.

[Paullow]

Massive win for Forest. Many had written them off, but they are currently outside the relegation zone and have Southampton at home the game after next. Arsenal at home in their penultimate match won't be as daunting now either, so they've given themselves a fighting chance.

I hope they stay up, the mad b@stards

[OoOGazOoO]

On 22/04/2023 at 18:42, HaydnNUFC said:

If Everton lose against us and against Leicester next Monday they're going to go imo. Leeds look shocking but Everton have won 3 away games in 2 years, and their home game after us is Man City.

 

Fair play to Smith if he gets Leicester out of this. They looked gone 2 weeks ago.

 

3 away games in 2 years? Chuffin heck!!!

[astraguy]

Fair play forest, hope we do everton now

[astraguy]

On 02/04/2023 at 13:31, astraguy said:

 Crystal Palace  (12th,30 pts)

Still to play:  9 Apr Leeds (a), 15 Apr Southampton (a), 22 Apr Everton (h), 25 Apr Wolves (a), 29 Apr West Ham (h), 6 May Tottenham (a), 13 May Bournemouth (h), 20 May Fulham (a), 28 May Nottingham Forest (h)

Wolves (12th, 31pts)
Still to play: 8 Apr Chelsea (h)(w), 15 Apr Brentford (h), 22 Apr Leicester (a), 25 Apr Crystal Palace (h), 29 Apr Brighton (a), 6 May Aston Villa (h), 13 May Manchester United (a), 20 May Everton (h), 28 May Arsenal (a)

Leeds United (16th, 29pts)
Still to play:4 Apr Nottingham Forest (h)(w), 9 Apr Crystal Palace (h), 17 Apr Liverpool (h), 22 Apr Fulham (a), 25 Apr Leicester (h), 30 Apr Bournemouth (a), 7 May Manchester City (a), 13 May Newcastle (h), 20 May West Ham (a), 28 May Tottenham (h)

Scouse Mackems( Everton)(17th, 27pts)
Still to play: 3 Apr Tottenham (h)(d), 8 Apr Manchester United (a)(L), 15 Apr Fulham (h), 22 Apr Crystal Palace (a), 27 Apr Newcastle (h), 1 May Leicester (a), 6 May Brighton (a), 13 May Manchester City (h), 20 May Wolves (a), 28 May Bournemouth (h)

Nottingham Forest (18th, 27pts)
Still to play: 4 Apr Leeds (a)(L), 8 Apr Aston Villa (a)(L), 16 Apr Manchester United (h), 22 Apr Liverpool (a), 26 Apr Brighton (h), 29 Apr Brentford (a), 8 May Southampton (h), 13 May Chelsea (a), 20 May Arsenal (h), 28 May Crystal Palace (a)

Leicester City (19th, 25pts)
Still to play: 4 Apr Aston Villa (h)(L), 8 Apr Bournemouth (h)(L), 15 Apr Manchester City (a), 22 Apr Wolves (h), 25 Apr Leeds (a), 1 May Everton (h), 6 May Fulham (a), 13 May Liverpool (h), 20 May Newcastle (a), 28 May West Ham (h)

West Ham United (13th, 30pts)
Still to play: 2 Apr Southampton (h)(w), 5 Apr Newcastle (h)(L), 8 Apr Fulham (a)(w), 16 Apr Arsenal (h), 23 Apr Bournemouth (a), 26 Apr Liverpool (h), 29 Apr Crystal Palace (a), 3 May Manchester City (a), 7 May Manchester United (h), 13 May Brentford (a), 20 May Leeds (h), 28 May Leicester (a)

Bournemouth (15th, 30pts)
Still to play:  4 Apr Brighton (h)(L), 8 Apr Leicester (a)(L), 15 Apr Tottenham (a), 23 Apr West Ham (h), 27 Apr Southampton (a), 30 Apr Leeds (h), 6 May Chelsea (h), 13 May Crystal Palace (a), 20 May Manchester United (h), 28 May Everton (a)

Southampton (20th, 23pts)
Still to play: 2 Apr West Ham (a)(L), 8 Apr Manchester City (h)(L), 15 Apr Crystal Palace (h), 21 Apr Arsenal (a), 27 Apr Bournemouth (h), 30 Apr Newcastle (a), 8 May Nottingham Forest (a), 13 May Fulham (h), 20 May Brighton (a), 28 May Liverpool (h

 

 

 

Anyone on a pc update this please,wolves and palace are safe so can remove them 

 

 

Edited April 27, 2023 by astraguy

[Kazzie]

West Ham United (14th, 34pts)
Still to play: 29 Apr Crystal Palace (a), 3 May Manchester City (a), 7 May Manchester United (h), 13 May Brentford (a), 20 May Leeds (h), 28 May Leicester (a)

Bournemouth (15th, 33pts)
Still to play: 27 Apr Southampton (a), 30 Apr Leeds (h), 6 May Chelsea (h), 13 May Crystal Palace (a), 20 May Manchester United (h), 28 May Everton (a)

 

Leeds United (16th, 30pts)
Still to play:30 Apr Bournemouth (a), 7 May Manchester City (a), 13 May Newcastle (h), 20 May West Ham (a), 28 May Tottenham (h)
 

Nottingham Forest (17th, 30pts)
Still to play: 29 Apr Brentford (a), 8 May Southampton (h), 13 May Chelsea (a), 20 May Arsenal (h), 28 May Crystal Palace (a)
 

Leicester City (18th, 29pts)
Still to play: 1 May Everton (h), 6 May Fulham (a), 13 May Liverpool (h), 20 May Newcastle (a), 28 May West Ham (h)
 

Scouse Mackems( Everton)(19th, 28pts)
Still to play: 27 Apr Newcastle (h), 1 May Leicester (a), 6 May Brighton (a), 13 May Manchester City (h), 20 May Wolves (a), 28 May Bournemouth (h)

Southampton (20th, 24pts)
Still to play: 27 Apr Bournemouth (h), 30 Apr Newcastle (a), 8 May Nottingham Forest (a), 13 May Fulham (h), 20 May Brighton (a), 28 May Liverpool (h

[wormy]

Honest question; where does Englands No. 1 T Rex go if Everton do go down? You figure he won't wait it out even a year and must be one of their most saleable assets. But I can also envisage him overrating himself as far as who will be in the race for him.

[54]

Just now, wormy said:

Honest question; where does Englands No. 1 T Rex go if Everton do go down? You figure he won't wait it out even a year and must be one of their most saleable assets. But I can also envisage him overrating himself as far as who will be in the race for him.

Spurs to replace Lloris.

[Skeletor]

Just now, 54 said:

Spurs to replace Lloris.

 

What I was gonna say. All the other top teams have a better keeper than him.

[wormy]

Fair shout indeed actually. 

[54]

2 minutes ago, wormy said:

Fair shout indeed actually. 

You could argue Chelsea as well actually as Kepa and Mendy arn't great, and Pickford is a step above them imo.

[Colos Short and Curlies]

Was hoping that we could have relegated Southampton on Sunday but the worst they can be is 9 points adrift with 12 to play for.

 

Pickford may have to go abroad, I think Spurs will buy from abroad and there is no one else that will be in for him. Brentford maybe?

 

he’s basically Everton’s only saleable asset and there will be a lack of clubs interested so no bidding wars.

 

Everton v Wrexham in 2024-2025 please 

[astraguy]

Monday is huge 

[GWN]

Sunday looking like a must win now

[Stifler]

I still think Everton will survive. They will beat one of Leicester, Brighton, or Wolves, and beat Bournemouth on the final day.

Forest and Leeds won’t pick up enough points.

[Teslact]

It's not going to be like '97, where everything clicked into place as we finished second and both Sunderland and Boro got relegated, but this year still has crazy written all over it.

[Kid Icarus]

18 hours ago, wormy said:

Honest question; where does Englands No. 1 T Rex go if Everton do go down? You figure he won't wait it out even a year and must be one of their most saleable assets. But I can also envisage him overrating himself as far as who will be in the race for him.

Spurs or Man United