samptime29 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Whoa just looked at Bournemouth's games. They look tricky. Might come out of those games with 4 points, keeps them right in the relegation battle. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
mrmojorisin75 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 One thing is for sure we're going to need some results against teams in the top 6-8 which has crippled us in the first half of the season, what's also pretty obvious is that without some quality attacking players (minimum) in January we're not going to get them. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doctor Zaius Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 The poll is skewed far too high like - 80% chance we'll get relegated really? I mean, we are in the bottom 3 like Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 The poll is skewed far too high like - 80% chance we'll get relegated really? I mean, we are in the bottom 3 like Right, so if the season ended today the chance would be 100%. But since it goes on another several months, you need to judge how we might do. Fair enough if people generally think it's that certain, I just think it's mental to think that we would go down 8 times out of 10. There's three points separating us from 12th. Even if you think "we'll probably go down" that probably means about a 6. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kimbo Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 We're total garbage and I wouldn't back us to beat anyone, home or away. I also don't think the takeover or January investment will happen. 80% seems reasonable to me. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 We're total garbage and I wouldn't back us to beat anyone, home or away. I also don't think the takeover or January investment will happen. 80% seems reasonable to me. Fair enough. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TRon Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 The poll is skewed far too high like - 80% chance we'll get relegated really? I mean, we are in the bottom 3 like Right, so if the season ended today the chance would be 100%. But since it goes on another several months, you need to judge how we might do. Fair enough if people generally think it's that certain, I just think it's mental to think that we would go down 8 times out of 10. There's three points separating us from 12th. Even if you think "we'll probably go down" that probably means about a 6. 6 is about right, but that's gone up from about 3 in the last few weeks. The takeover looks like it might come too late, and this squad as it stands looks like relegation material. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Sure, that's fine. I'm not saying we won't go down, I'm just saying 80% chance seems excessive. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shearergol Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Sure, that's fine. I'm not saying we won't go down, I'm just saying 80% chance seems excessive. Who cares? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
afar Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Until we sign anyone that fixes our situation we are down, the squad has shown over the first half of the season that it's not fit for purpose. 80% chance right now is absolutely fair. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
AyeDubbleYoo Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Sure, that's fine. I'm not saying we won't go down, I'm just saying 80% chance seems excessive. Who cares? People posting in a thread about how likely we are to go down? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TRon Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 It looks like the takeover isn't going to make any impact as far as big signings required are concerned so until I know better, I'll assume we are going to have to survive with this squad and a limited budget in January. Probably no different to the other clubs around us in the relegation spots, so not looking great tbh. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
afar Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Obviously not someone we should be targeting but getting the deals lined up now is an example of what we should be doing right now, if we want to get out this mess. http://www.bbc.com/sport/football/42414457 I don't buy the "deals take a long time nowadays" line, there is nothing to stop us negotiating with the selling clubs and agents when the window is close with a view to conclude when it opens. I hope there are deals when on there way to being concluded already and we are not still in the "lets assess what we need" stage. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shearergol Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Sure, that's fine. I'm not saying we won't go down, I'm just saying 80% chance seems excessive. Who cares? People posting in a thread about how likely we are to go down? But who cares how you attribute a percentage to a perception? Honestly, it's the weirdest thing on this forum, which is saying a lot. If someone thinks there's an 80% change of us being relegated, how can you even argue with that? I think there's a 10% chance of being shagged senseless by Rita Ora. Can you argue? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interpolic Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 There are always absolutely loads of arguments in this thread. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaizero Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Sure, that's fine. I'm not saying we won't go down, I'm just saying 80% chance seems excessive. Who cares? People posting in a thread about how likely we are to go down? But who cares how you attribute a percentage to a perception? Honestly, it's the weirdest thing on this forum, which is saying a lot. If someone thinks there's an 80% change of us being relegated, how can you even argue with that? I think there's a 10% chance of being shagged senseless by Rita Ora. Can you argue? You can argue, as it's math. And math is definite. There will certainly be a percentage chance of you being shagged senseless by Rita Ora, but you need to look at a lot of different factors to figure out a percentage that's close to reality. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
TRon Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Sure, that's fine. I'm not saying we won't go down, I'm just saying 80% chance seems excessive. Who cares? People posting in a thread about how likely we are to go down? But who cares how you attribute a percentage to a perception? Honestly, it's the weirdest thing on this forum, which is saying a lot. If someone thinks there's an 80% change of us being relegated, how can you even argue with that? I think there's a 10% chance of being shagged senseless by Rita Ora. Can you argue? You can argue, as it's math. And math is definite. There will certainly be a percentage chance of you being shagged senseless by Rita Ora, but you need to look at a lot of different factors to figure out a percentage that's close to reality. 10% is wildly optimistic IMO. But there could be a 30% chance I'm wrong. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaizero Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 fivethirtyeight has us at 45% likely to be relegated, fwiw. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest firetotheworks Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 fivethirtyeight has us at 45% likely to be relegated, fwiw. Ignored them ever since the U.S election tbh, they were miles off every time. Similarly their UK election conclusion was made up of three scenarios, all of which covered pretty much every possibility. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaizero Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 fivethirtyeight has us at 45% likely to be relegated, fwiw. Ignored them ever since the U.S election tbh, they were miles off every time. Similarly their UK election conclusion was made up of three scenarios, all of which covered pretty much every possibility. They're fairly spot on with their sports analysis, though. But yeah, they (and everyone else, tbf) fucked up the U.S. election. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 There are always absolutely loads of arguments in this thread. The '-ometer' aspect always gets people going. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dinho lad Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 voted 8. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Still at a 5. 50/50, so much of the season to play for but massively depends on arresting our current form ASAP and strengthening in January. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
timeEd32 Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 There are always absolutely loads of arguments in this thread. The '-ometer' aspect always gets people going. The complete disregard for math and probability is infuriating. Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest firetotheworks Posted December 19, 2017 Share Posted December 19, 2017 Complete disregard for what now? Link to post Share on other sites More sharing options...
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