The Relegationometer™ (2023/24)

[midds]

I get the fact that Burnley seem to have the bit between their teeth but them transforming from one of the worst sides in the league into Europa League form for the last 10 games is unbelievably unlikely. From struggling to pick up a point a game to averaging about 1.8ish a game simply isn't going to happen, they're shit and at the bottom for very good reasons. I can accept they could well play a bit better and improve but not to the extent that some are suggesting. 

 

We're not safe yet but we still have 21 points left to play for ourselves. Even a paltry 4 or 5 from 21 would almost certainly be enough. The numbers are massively in our favour and we're in a position every single one of us would have gladly accepted on Boxing Day. 

[Fantail Breeze]

We’re 3 points away from 9th ffs  Some people need to put down the bleach.

 

Everton beat a very, very poor team today - but they’ll not get more than 3 points from their next four games. 

 

 

Edited April 9, 2022 by Fantail Breeze

[Kanj]

Some of the paranoia on here…

[TheInfiniteOdyssey]

Thought we'd be already safe with the win last night, but in light of today's results, we still need another win I think.

 

Hopefully get it next week.

[astraguy]

https://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-premier-league/ giz it ago 

[Stifler]

I still think another 3 points and we’ll be safe. We are possibly safe already.

We have home games against Leicester (who are nowhere near the same Leicester over the last 7 seasons or so, and will be tired after playing 2 games before they play us) and Palace, who will likely be heading towards their end of season holiday mode.

On top of that we will have an away game against Norwich who even for them, have been fucking shit this season.

 

2-3 points out of our home games would be fairly acceptable and a decent target, and we should be aiming for 3 points against Norwich.

 

There is also the off chance that we could pinch a point or so from the games against Arsenal, Man City, and Liverpool. Arsenal can blow cold at times, and one of Man City or Liverpool will have to drop points in the title race. There is no reason that we can’t be the team where they do and the title is decided.

 

If all else fails, we would still likely have the opportunity to do it ourselves on the last day, although no one wants for us to have to rely on that.

 

 

Edited April 10, 2022 by Stifler

[RodneyCisse]

I’ve got us finishing 13th with that calculator and even being conservative with some results.

 

Warford looking most likely to get out of bottom 3 with Everton paying the price.

[Guest]

1 hour ago, astraguy said:

https://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-premier-league/ giz it ago 

Nice little tool. I have us finishing on 43 points. 

[Tiresias]

I have us finishing on 39 points and burnley surviving on goal difference ahead of everton

[The Bonk]

11 minutes ago, Tiresias said:

I have us finishing on 39 points and burnley surviving on goal difference ahead of everton

 

Oooh...with us losing the last day to seal Everton's fate? (sorry @Neil)

[Tiresias]

10 minutes ago, The Bonk said:

 

Oooh...with us losing the last day to seal Everton's fate? (sorry @Neil)

 

No actually have us winning 1-0 that one

[Kanj]

We’re staying up man. 

[Izakaya]

We aren't going down. It would take a collapse of gargantuan proportions. 

 

[Yorkie]

I thought Friday night earned us the right not to worry too much about how other teams are doing. Our defeat to Everton was very disappointing and then we got totally humbled by a Spurs team who are looking lethal at the moment; but the Wolves game proved that the wheels have far from fallen off. We're still a competent team with a strong mentality that is well-drilled and capable of winning matches. There's at least four games left where you'd expect us to collect points. 

[The Butcher]

Over the last 5 years 35 points has been enough to stay up. We're on 34 with 4 very winnable games left. Safe as houses.

[SUPERTOON]

We also still have our 2 most important players to come back, possibly by the end of the month as well.

[Mazzy]

100% safe.  I wouldn't be surprised if after the Norwich game we were mathematically safe or atleast beyond any reasonable doubt.

[GWN]

Not even worth the debate man 

[Gazzaschicken]

Can see us relegating norwich

[samptime29]

Interested to see if Burnley can get back to back wins today. Big game for them.

[Guest]

Leicester winning today would boost our top 10 hopes. 

[Mazzy]

8 minutes ago, samptime29 said:

Interested to see if Burnley can get back to back wins today. Big game for them.

 

Would like to see Burnley get a win, purely to drag Everton back into it.

 

That being said I do hope Burnley go down, they've gotten away with it for too long now.

[Lush Vlad]

17 minutes ago, Mazzy said:

 

Would like to see Burnley get a win, purely to drag Everton back into it.

 

That being said I do hope Burnley go down, they've gotten away with it for too long now.

Yeah. Win/win, really. 
 

Sick of Burnley now. But Everton since Allardyce have seemed to hate us for some reason. So fuck them and all. 

[Guest]

Everton have hated us for years. The peak was probably 2005 when Parker & Emre turned them and potential Champions League football for Souness & us. They got particularly bitter around that time.

[samptime29]

59 minutes ago, Mazzy said:

 

Would like to see Burnley get a win, purely to drag Everton back into it.

 

That being said I do hope Burnley go down, they've gotten away with it for too long now.

 

Perfect scenario is we pick up another 3-4 wins. End in comfortable mid table and throw the match against Burnley, so Everton get relegated on goal difference. ?