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The Europeometer™ (2023/24) - permutations in O.P.


Rich

The TopFourometer™ (2023/24)  

614 members have voted

  1. 1. How likely are we to finish top four this season? 0 = nee chance, 5 = can’t call it, 10 = nailed on marra



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Dropping points against Leeds stings after seeing the other results the past few days, but equally we're in a better overall position than we'd probably have anticipated after them all.

 

Do think we'll probably drop off second half, especially with fixture congestion this month. Squad depth the main concern. Injuries to any of Wilson, Trippier, Bruno, Batman would be a bit of a killer at the moment.

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In terms of purely performances we've probably been the most consistent alongside Arsenal and City this season. 

 

Spurs basically never turn up in the first half, Liverpool regularly give up 4/5 massive chances a game. Chelsea look pretty gash and don't have a striker. 

 

Unless we suddenly forget how to defend or pick up a load of injuries we have as good as chance as any. We may end up picking up a few too many draws but I can't see us collapsing or performance levels dropping massively. 

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Also we have Man U, Liverpool and Spurs - probably our 3 biggest threats right now - all to play at home. Yeah, we've got Arsenal x2 and City and Chelsea away but if we do well in those first 3 home fixtures we'll take some stopping. And all 3 are eminently winnable too

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Arsenal, City and Man U will get top 4. We need Spurs and Liverpool to fuck the second half of the season royally if we’re to join them. Either that or we spend big on a midfield and attacker in this window and keep Pope and the bulk of our defence fit.

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I'm not discomforted by Spurs (I don't think they're better than us) or Chelsea (likewise but in transition) so its Liverpool really, if were accepting Man United have turned the corner, that's the threat to us for top 4.

And all the refereeing the goes along with that.

Story usually goes in their favour and against us so would be surprised if we made it.

Its a lot easier though when you know its coming at some point.

 

 

Edited by Jonas

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20 minutes ago, Miggys First Goal said:

It's all over, lads. FiveThirtyEight have spoken. Fifth it is.

 

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/soccer-predictions/premier-league/

 

FiveThirtyEight is absolute garbage like. Nate Silver's a terrible stat nonce with an awful track record, and no matter what they might tell you about their precious algorithm, they're only really giving predictions on existing conditions. 

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Next few games should see a few shake ups. After Arsenal we have a run of games against mid table and lower teams. Those in the top 6/7 seem to be playing each other. Our worst run is Liverpool, Brighton and Man City with two of those at home.

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If our defenders can stay fit and in form, then it's the attackers and strikers that need to do their jobs too. I'm hoping Miggy doesn't drop off massively and Wilson can stay fit as much as possible. But it's the like of Wood, ASM and possibly Isak later that needs to chip in as often as possible with goals. That's the part that needs to be emphasised on for the second part of the season.

 

 

Edited by nufcjb

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13 minutes ago, frankpingel said:

Think Isak is pivotal to us maintaining a CL spot come the end of the season. Him and Wilson staying fit and scoring around 20 between them for the 21 games remaining may be a stretch but let's see. 


 

or he could be our Tino and it all turn to shit [emoji38]

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1 hour ago, ChrisMcQuillan said:

On goal difference with Liverpool, with us 2 worse off.

 

2 we arguably would have had had Isak's second been allowed. :lol:

 

Can you even imagine? :lol: 

 

That assumes Liverpool GD is +11 better than how we perform from now until end of season. Tall ask. 

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