Jump to content

The Relegationometer™ (2023/24)


midds

The Relegationometer™ (2023/24)  

406 members have voted

  1. 1. How likely are we to get relegated this season? 0 = nee chance, 5 = can’t call it, 10 = nailed on marra



Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, gdm said:

They have plenty reasons to impress the guy that is about to be appointed. Also they are very much in the fight for too 4. What are you on about? :lol:

Did you watch the against Leicester ? Man U have to many players that will be moved on in the summer they are just not bothered what happens to the team this season

Link to post
Share on other sites

15 minutes ago, Jackie Broon said:

 

Those home games are all against top half teams. We haven't beaten a top half team all season.

Without checking I am sure Brighton were in the top half when we beat them? We have also beaten Villa who are literally a point behind 10th.  is three points between Palace in 9th and Brighton in 13th so absolutely nothing between the likes of Palace, Leicester, Brighton and Villa. Even we are only 6 points of 9th and that's down to having Bruce  in charge until October, like I said if we cant get 4 points from them games we don't deserve to stay up anyway.

 

 

Edited by Geogaddi

Link to post
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Ben said:

Did you watch the against Leicester ? Man U have to many players that will be moved on in the summer they are just not bothered what happens to the team this season

So what? Leicester ain’t Everton ffs

Link to post
Share on other sites

Wolves (h) D

Leicester (h) D

Palace (h) W
Norwich (a) W

Liverpool (h) L

Man City (a) L
Arsenal (h) D
Burnley (a) W

 

We're more than capable of those results. Was tempted to put a win against Leicester as we're due a home win against the bastards, but anyway that'd put us on 43 points. At SJP we're a different side and we'll even give Liverpool a run for their money imo.

Link to post
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, HaydnNUFC said:

Wolves (h) D

Leicester (h) D

Palace (h) W
Norwich (a) W

Liverpool (h) L

Man City (a) L
Arsenal (h) D
Burnley (a) W

 

We're more than capable of those results. Was tempted to put a win against Leicester as we're due a home win against the bastards, but anyway that'd put us on 43 points. At SJP we're a different side and we'll even give Liverpool a run for their money imo.

There's got to be at least 6-8 points in those remaining fixtures like.

Link to post
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, toon25 said:

There's got to be at least 6-8 points in those remaining fixtures like.

 

Honestly believe all we need is 4 more points. I think even being as pessimistic with predicting results as possible, it's hard to see us not getting at least 4 points between now and the end of the season. Actually think 6/7 points is more realistic. 

 

Just had a look back to see if there was precedent for an identical drop off to a one that would see us relegated. Only recent-ish one I came across was Swansea in 17/18. On 31 points with 8 games left, 15th in the league. Preceded to only get 2 points from their remaining fixtures and went down. Worth pointing out the team in 18th at the time (Southampton) were actually on 28 points, rather than Burnley's 24. Even if Burnley win their game in hand they're still a point worse off than Southampton were that season. 

 

Main takeaway - we're not definitely safe, but relegation is extremely unlikely.  

Link to post
Share on other sites

36 minutes ago, HaydnNUFC said:

Wolves (h) D W

Leicester (h) D W

Palace (h) W L
Norwich (a) W D

Liverpool (h) L W

Man City (a) L L
Arsenal (h) D L
Burnley (a) W D

 

We're more than capable of those results. Was tempted to put a win against Leicester as we're due a home win against the bastards, but anyway that'd put us on 43 points. At SJP we're a different side and we'll even give Liverpool a run for their money imo.

 

I haven't checked but assumed we will be playing Liverpool in between their Champions League Semi Final and City are beating them on Sunday to kill of the league challenge

Link to post
Share on other sites

3 minutes ago, Colos Short and Curlies said:

 

I haven't checked but assumed we will be playing Liverpool in between their Champions League Semi Final and City are beating them on Sunday to kill of the league challenge

 

We also play Leicester straight after their PSV second leg (away) in the Europa Conference League which they are apparently now prioritising as a route back into Europe next season.

Link to post
Share on other sites

5 minutes ago, Colos Short and Curlies said:

 

I haven't checked but assumed we will be playing Liverpool in between their Champions League Semi Final and City are beating them on Sunday to kill of the league challenge

 

We play Leicester and Palace at really fortuitous times as well, following cup commitments.

Link to post
Share on other sites

Realistic worse case scenario we lose all our remaining games except we beat Norwich and draw with Burnley. That takes us to 35 points. 
 

Then Burnley and Everton would both have to win atleast 4 of their remaining 9 games.

 

Possible but unlikely. 

 

 

Edited by Jesse Pinkman

Link to post
Share on other sites

We're 7 points clear of the relegation zone, have 5 teams below us and with arguably our best player to come back from injury.

 

My main takeaway from last night's game was how truly dreadful both teams were, there's not much to fear from either. Both would snap your hand off to trade places with us.

 

Famous last words, but I really do think it's between those two for the last relegation spot. With just a point between them, a better looking run in, and an experienced manager, I think I'd rather be in Burnley's shoes than Everton's right now.

Link to post
Share on other sites

On 03/04/2022 at 21:18, The Prophet said:

 

I agree 35-36 to be sure, but I disagree one if the bottom three always goes on a run at the end of the season, just look at last year.

If there was any justice we would have been bottom 3 before we won 17 points from our last nine.

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

For me it was nailed on Wed go down, even up to Watford I thought it was out of reach. I've been as pessimistic as anyone but even I think there's only about 1% chance of this going tits up from here. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

People revise their opinions on a week to week basis, as if their opinion ladt week never existed. Last week we were confident of going to Spurs and nicking something, now we're afraid of Wolves coming to St. James' on a Friday night?

Link to post
Share on other sites

Guest HTT II

We just need to focus on our own games, there are several winnable games for us and if we win on Friday that will only add more pressure on those below us. 

Link to post
Share on other sites

37 minutes ago, HTT II said:

We just need to focus on our own games, there are several winnable games for us and if we win on Friday that will only add more pressure on those below us. 

This is pretty much it. We have a 6 point cushion. We need to pick up points and build on that

Link to post
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Happinesstan said:

People revise their opinions on a week to week basis, as if their opinion ladt week never existed. Last week we were confident of going to Spurs and nicking something, now we're afraid of Wolves coming to St. James' on a Friday night?

Its like that all the time. One week Burn is Maldlini and the other week he is Boumsong. Its just a hilarious rollercoaster. And im no better myself..

Link to post
Share on other sites

I know us fans generally tend to oscillate between extreme optimism and extreme pessimism, but I am finding it hard to believe that some of you think that there is a chance you will get relegated. I posted on this message board in the first week of February that if you defeat Everton (and you did), you will be safe. Every metric associated with your games was looking positive and increasing under Eddie Howe. 

 

Burnley had just lost 4 games in a row. Hadn't scored in over 250 minutes of football. They gifted two penalties to Everton and Everton still managed to lose.  That Everton (7 losses in 9 games) is suddenly going to go on a run and overtake you in the points table? Add to that Eddie Howe is several orders of magnitude better manager than Frank Lampard. You will be higher than 40 points when the season ends. 

 

By the way, I don't think Everton is going down. They are still more than capable of getting points, particularly at home.

 

Link to post
Share on other sites

It's the fear of being leapfrogged in the last few minutes of the entire season that's got people on edge I think. Losing at Burnley and dropping into the bottom 3 on the final day is a truly horrific way to go. 

 

Thankfully the chances of this are pretty remote imo

Link to post
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
×
×
  • Create New...