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So putting Norwich aside (early days like, but I think mackems will get more than them so we need to come above them. And mackems GD is probably too much to catch if they have good run-in).

So from our 4 games:

 

Liverpool away

Palace home

Villa away

Spurs home

 

we need to get 2 more points than Sunderland get from their 5 games

Arsenal home

Stoke away

Chelsea home

Everton home

Watford away

 

I'm inclined to think they'll get a lot of points from that - 3 homes games. They haven't lost a lot recently. But in reality this is a team that have gotten 2 points in their last 3 home games against Leciester (okay, good team), but also West Brom and Crystal Palace. I can't help but feel they'll do well, but look at it rationally, it's fucking on man. We're by no means favourite, but both these teams are definitely catchable in 4 games with the fixtures we have.

Still can't see anything but the mackems finishing above us from that lot unless we win 3 from 4 or something.

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I reckon we'll beat Spurs on the last day if we have to. Especially if the title's gone, which is very likely.

 

Really? ???

 

What am I missing? :lol:

 

Leiecester look to be wobbling, Vardy banned and Spurs absolutely flying, think it's very unlikely they'll be more than 3 points ahead before the final game.

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I reckon we'll beat Spurs on the last day if we have to. Especially if the title's gone, which is very likely.

 

Really? ???

 

What am I missing?[emoji38]

 

Leiecester look to be wobbling, Vardy banned and Spurs absolutely flying, think it's very unlikely they'll be more than 3 points ahead before the final game.

Same here, I think Spurs are going to nick it.

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I don't think the Villa game will be that straightforward. They are relegated already and the pressure will be off them. I've seen it time and again where teams who have been losing all season start winning matches once their relegation has been confirmed.

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I can see confidence returning to the side, and I think having Dummett, Tiote and Colback back and replacing Janmaat for Anita has made a huge difference to the solidity of the team. We have as good a chance as any and have really turned the heat up on Sunderland and Norwich.

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For me, it now depends on the mackems slipping up. Have a feeling they'll rough up Arsenal and atleast get a point. The Watford and Everton games are wins for them if those two don't turn up. We really need to be atleast level on points with them by 5pm Saturday.

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We could really do with Palace beating Watford I guess. :undecided:

 

Means that it's us playing the team with one eye on the Final rather than Norwich & Sunderland, and Watford not protecting themselves in the league for the cup.

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Still at a 9.  I said anything last night would have been a bonus.  As I expected a defeat and our goal dif to take a hefty whack.   

 

I think we'll beat Palace and Villa.  Who knows against Spurs?!  It all depends on whether they have anything left to play for.  Either way, it will be a hard game.   

 

I just worry about the mackems.  They have a far better goal dif, and I don't think their fixtures look particularly hard.  I could easily see them getting another couple of wins.  Everton, Watford and Stoke, are all winnable games, for them. If they get another 6-7 points, it would probably mean we're goners.  As I don't see us getting anything on Saturday and the Spurs game is going to be incredibly difficult.  We need Arsenal to sort out their shit and hammer them on Sunday. 

 

At least we've given ourselves a chance, though.  I thought we were dead and buried, after Norwich. 

 

 

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Fucking Spurs game on the last day is the problem now.  I just had  a look at a scenario that would see us safe before the last game, this is it:

 

Liverpool v Newcastle - Draw

Newcastle v Palace - Newcastle

Villa v Newcastle - Newcastle

 

Sunderland v Arsenal - Arsenal

Stoke v Sunderland - Draw

Sunderland v Chelsea - Chelsea

Sunderland v Everton - Draw

 

Arsenal v Norwich - Arsenal

Norwich v Man Utd - Man Utd

Norwich v Watford - Draw

 

 

Would be:

Newcastle 36

Sunderland 32

Norwich 32

 

 

That's the dream

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We're still due to go down in my eyes, it's all a bit late for us. I can't see the likes of Watford or Everton putting up much of a fight, that's what will be the kicker - easy points for Mackems and Canaries.

 

It's the games before they play those two teams that could be key though (and if we pick up points in the meantime)

 

 

Arsenal are guaranteed to fuck up against one of them and put a spanner in the works

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We're still due to go down in my eyes, it's all a bit late for us. I can't see the likes of Watford or Everton putting up much of a fight, that's what will be the kicker - easy points for Mackems and Canaries.

 

It's the games before they play those two teams that could be key though (and if we pick up points in the meantime)

 

 

Arsenal are guaranteed to fuck up against one of them and put a spanner in the works

 

It'll be at the SOS if they do. Can't see them not putting away Norwich at home with their defence.

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Fucking Spurs game on the last day is the problem now.  I just had  a look at a scenario that would see us safe before the last game, this is it:

 

Liverpool v Newcastle - Draw

Newcastle v Palace - Newcastle

Villa v Newcastle - Newcastle

 

Sunderland v Arsenal - Arsenal

Stoke v Sunderland - Draw

Sunderland v Chelsea - Chelsea

Sunderland v Everton - Draw

 

Arsenal v Norwich - Arsenal

Norwich v Man Utd - Man Utd

Norwich v Watford - Draw

 

 

Would be:

Newcastle 36

Sunderland 32

Norwich 32

 

 

That's the dream

 

That's roughly what I had on the predictor, except us staying up on 34 after losing to both City and Liverpool. Seems a bit harsh on the other two clubs in hindsight.

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It's going to be so close. The mackems are fighting but still ultimately shite - they don't have any games you would put as bankers, we're just depending on Everton and Watford turning up against them, plus Arsenal not doing an Arsenal and shitting themselves against a physical side....

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I can't help feeling that relegation is nailed on. In some ways, it might be for the best. There's no chance that Rafa is staying on beyond the end of this season in any case. Ashley wouldn't want to have to invest properly. Might as well get relegated and accept this club's destiny.

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