Relegationometer

[The College Dropout]

Everton and Watford is a minimum of 4 points for both our rivals.

[Lush Vlad]

Still at a 9.  I said anything last night would have been a bonus.  As I expected a defeat and our goal dif to take a hefty whack.   

 

I think we'll beat Palace and Villa.  Who knows against Spurs?!  It all depends on whether they have anything left to play for.  Either way, it will be a hard game.   

 

I just worry about the mackems.  They have a far better goal dif, and I don't think their fixtures look particularly hard.  I could easily see them getting another couple of wins.  Everton, Watford and Stoke, are all winnable games, for them. If they get another 6-7 points, it would probably mean we're goners.  As I don't see us getting anything on Saturday and the Spurs game is going to be incredibly difficult.  We need Arsenal to sort out their shit and hammer them on Sunday. 

 

At least we've given ourselves a chance, though.  I thought we were dead and buried, after Norwich. 

 

 

[NG32]

9.

[sbnufc]

Fucking Spurs game on the last day is the problem now.  I just had  a look at a scenario that would see us safe before the last game, this is it:

 

Liverpool v Newcastle - Draw

Newcastle v Palace - Newcastle

Villa v Newcastle - Newcastle

 

Sunderland v Arsenal - Arsenal

Stoke v Sunderland - Draw

Sunderland v Chelsea - Chelsea

Sunderland v Everton - Draw

 

Arsenal v Norwich - Arsenal

Norwich v Man Utd - Man Utd

Norwich v Watford - Draw

 

 

Would be:

Newcastle 36

Sunderland 32

Norwich 32

 

 

That's the dream

[Nexumaster]

We're still due to go down in my eyes, it's all a bit late for us. I can't see the likes of Watford or Everton putting up much of a fight, that's what will be the kicker - easy points for Mackems and Canaries.

[STM]

There will be a few twists and turns yet mind. Never works out how you would expect.

[sbnufc]

We're still due to go down in my eyes, it's all a bit late for us. I can't see the likes of Watford or Everton putting up much of a fight, that's what will be the kicker - easy points for Mackems and Canaries.

 

It's the games before they play those two teams that could be key though (and if we pick up points in the meantime)

 

 

Arsenal are guaranteed to fuck up against one of them and put a spanner in the works

[Disco]

We're still due to go down in my eyes, it's all a bit late for us. I can't see the likes of Watford or Everton putting up much of a fight, that's what will be the kicker - easy points for Mackems and Canaries.

 

It's the games before they play those two teams that could be key though (and if we pick up points in the meantime)

 

 

Arsenal are guaranteed to fuck up against one of them and put a spanner in the works

 

It'll be at the SOS if they do. Can't see them not putting away Norwich at home with their defence.

[AyeDubbleYoo]

Fucking Spurs game on the last day is the problem now.  I just had  a look at a scenario that would see us safe before the last game, this is it:

 

Liverpool v Newcastle - Draw

Newcastle v Palace - Newcastle

Villa v Newcastle - Newcastle

 

Sunderland v Arsenal - Arsenal

Stoke v Sunderland - Draw

Sunderland v Chelsea - Chelsea

Sunderland v Everton - Draw

 

Arsenal v Norwich - Arsenal

Norwich v Man Utd - Man Utd

Norwich v Watford - Draw

 

 

Would be:

Newcastle 36

Sunderland 32

Norwich 32

 

 

That's the dream

 

That's roughly what I had on the predictor, except us staying up on 34 after losing to both City and Liverpool. Seems a bit harsh on the other two clubs in hindsight.

[The College Dropout]

We'll need a WIN against Liverpool or Spurs imo. Right now they are the 2 best teams in the country. Upside is Liverpool will rest players and Spurs might have nothing to play for................. or get nervy.

[Varadi]

It's going to be so close. The mackems are fighting but still ultimately shite - they don't have any games you would put as bankers, we're just depending on Everton and Watford turning up against them, plus Arsenal not doing an Arsenal and shitting themselves against a physical side....

[Shays Given Tim Flowers]

I think it's more likely that we will beat spurs at home than Liverpool away.

[AyeDubbleYoo]

I think it's more likely that we will beat spurs at home than Liverpool away.

 

Normally I would agree, but their team might be very much beatable.

[Ketsbaia]

Stoke, Chelsea, Everton & Watford is a great run of games for the mackems. Each is very winnable right now - I can see at least 2 happening.

[GM]

I can't help feeling that relegation is nailed on. In some ways, it might be for the best. There's no chance that Rafa is staying on beyond the end of this season in any case. Ashley wouldn't want to have to invest properly. Might as well get relegated and accept this club's destiny.

[The College Dropout]

It's going to be so close. The mackems are fighting but still ultimately s**** - they don't have any games you would put as bankers, we're just depending on Everton and Watford turning up against them, plus Arsenal not doing an Arsenal and shitting themselves against a physical side....

If you would want to pick your opposition it would be Villa, Palace, Everton, Watford, WBA imo. Chelsea and Stoke not too far away.

[The College Dropout]

I think it's more likely that we will beat spurs at home than Liverpool away.

 

Normally I would agree, but their team might be very much beatable.

 

Both don't seem likely.  Liverpool slightly more likely at this point due to EL.

[The College Dropout]

Stoke, Chelsea, Everton & Watford is a great run of games for the mackems. Each is very winnable right now - I can see at least 2 happening.

Aye, 4 sides with nothing to play for. None are any good. 2 have top talent but have disappointed when it mattered, would probably disappoint now

[The College Dropout]

It's going to be so close. The mackems are fighting but still ultimately s**** - they don't have any games you would put as bankers, we're just depending on Everton and Watford turning up against them, plus Arsenal not doing an Arsenal and shitting themselves against a physical side....

I would swap their fixtures for ours in a heartbeat when it was 4 each. I'd fancy 10 points from theirs.

[Figures 1-0 Football]

f***ing Spurs game on the last day is the problem now.  I just had  a look at a scenario that would see us safe before the last game, this is it:

 

Liverpool v Newcastle - Draw

Newcastle v Palace - Newcastle

Villa v Newcastle - Newcastle

 

Sunderland v Arsenal - Arsenal

Stoke v Sunderland - Draw

Sunderland v Chelsea - Chelsea

Sunderland v Everton - Draw

 

Arsenal v Norwich - Arsenal

Norwich v Man Utd - Man Utd

Norwich v Watford - Draw

 

 

Would be:

Newcastle 36

Sunderland 32

Norwich 32

 

 

That's the dream

 

That isn't all that unrealistic really, looking at those results.

 

I can see Norwich losing all of their remaining games, the mackems are the ones we'll be fighting against - we just need to hope Stoke and Everton give them a good game.

[Froggy]

7.

[Colos Short and Curlies]

Bizarre way of looking at it - but it may be better for us if Everton and Stoke aren't busting a gut against a Big Sam side that will sit back and attack on the break.

 

If the opposition isn't attacking then there is nothing to break against - result nil nil

[timeEd32]

I reckon we'll beat Spurs on the last day if we have to. Especially if the title's gone, which is very likely.

 

Really?

 

What am I missing?

 

I'm with you here, not sure where the Leicester panic has come from. Because they drew at home to a decent team after being reduced to 10 men?

 

They haven't lost since Feb 14 (W6, D2) and that's their only loss in 2016. And they were also reduced to 10 in that game. That's wobbly?

 

If Spurs drop any points in the next 3 games they will very likely have nothing to play for on the last day.

[LoveItIfWeBeatU]

I reckon we'll beat Spurs on the last day if we have to. Especially if the title's gone, which is very likely.

 

Really?

 

What am I missing?

 

I'm with you here, not sure where the Leicester panic has come from. Because they drew at home to a decent team after being reduced to 10 men?

 

They haven't lost since Feb 14 (W6, D2) and that's their only loss in 2016. And they were also reduced to 10 in that game. That's wobbly?

 

If Spurs drop any points in the next 3 games they will very likely have nothing to play for on the last day.

Jamie Vardy will miss at least one game due to being sent off. That doesn't help Leicester.

[Figures 1-0 Football]

If Leicester slip up against Swansea on Sunday (which they shouldn't) then the nerves will be kicking in a lot more than they are now as Spurs close the gap to 2-3 points.

 

Would be absolutely hilarious if they fuck it up like, absolutely classless lot of fans they are.