The Relegationometer™ (2023/24)

[James]

14 hours ago, Danh1 said:

It’s mental that Burnley still have to play Villa twice and it’s over half way through March.  

i don’t think it is implausible that Burnley pick up quite a few points off a team who haven’t played and who are quite frankly coasting to nowhere

[The Prophet]

https://theathletic.com/3191537/2022/03/21/analysing-watfords-run-in-and-how-they-compare-to-fellow-strugglers/?source=emp_shared_article

 

It basically tells us what we already know. It's highly unlikely we're going down and Watford, along with Burnley have probably given themselves a bit too much to do.

 

Edit: according to the metrics they use, we already have enough points on the board.

 

 

Edited March 21, 2022 by The Prophet

[TBG]

Metrics smetrics

 

Nothing from Spurs and we're down.

 

Win against Wolves and we're top 10.

 

That's math.

[The Prophet]

Ruben Neves out until at least May, meaning him and Jiminez will be missing for their game at SJP.

[GWN]

On 21/03/2022 at 09:34, The Prophet said:

https://theathletic.com/3191537/2022/03/21/analysing-watfords-run-in-and-how-they-compare-to-fellow-strugglers/?source=emp_shared_article

 

It basically tells us what we already know. It's highly unlikely we're going down and Watford, along with Burnley have probably given themselves a bit too much to do.

 

Edit: according to the metrics they use, we already have enough points on the board.

 

 

 

 

Said it before if you have ANY doubt , stick £50 on at 40/1 to go down £2000 will ease the pain 

[TRon]

I'm not even thinking about going down, I'm more pissed off we haven't got at least four points from our last couple of games which would have seen us having a great shot at top 10.

[STM]

We've got 3 home games in a row and then Norwich away, who I suspect will have lost all heart by then. We will get at least 4 points from them games, especially with Wilson and Trippier returning.

[Andy84]

Really looking forward to these upcoming games.  Leicester especially on Easter Sunday as we always seem to get absolutely rinsed off them every year at SJP.  A win would be lovely 

[Robster]

1 hour ago, GWN said:

Said it before if you have ANY doubt , stick £50 on at 40/1 to go down £2000 will ease the pain 

Very decent advice

[Paullow]

If Burnley beat Everton in midweek then it will be getting twitchy again. While I'd have loved to see Everton go down, needs must, they are 4 points clear of Burnley, so definitely hoping they either win or draw.

 

Not too worried at the moment, but I'd still take 17th, and just want the season over with to be honest and hopefully get some big additions in over the summer.

 

Thread title could probably be done with being changed again mind, especially with Liverpool and Man City among our remaining fixtures, and even CL chasing Arsenal.

 

[David Edgar]

Stupid thread title.

[Unbelievable]

Next four games are crucial. Need to get ourselves more or less mathematically safe, because going into the final four needing a win from somewhere puts far too much pressure on the final Burnley match.

[Miggys First Goal]

[The Prophet]

We'll finish somewhere in no man's land, somewhere between 13th and 16th. I just hope we beat Wolves to more or less confirm safety and put this season behind us.

[Guest HTT II]

On this performance….

[David Edgar]

Wolves are a very strong team and it is silly to expect to get much out of them.

 

It is going to be a painful month.

[SUPERTOON]

Whoever decided to change this thread a few weeks back needs banning 

[toon25]

We need at least 4 or 5 more points.

 

This meek surrendering shit to better sides is fucking unforgivable, mind.

[The Prophet]

1 minute ago, David Edgar said:

Wolves are a very strong team and it is silly to expect to get much out of them.

 

It is going to be a painful month.

 

They’re a tidy outfit away from home. It's a bonus they're missing Neves and Jiminez.

[MagCA]

Time to change this back to relegationmeter eh

[wormy]

Let's hope this lot realise it may only take a few games before we're dragged back in to the struggle. 

 

I considered mitigating factors of the first loss after our unbeaten run was Chelsea, and the Everton game was a shambles from start to finish from all parties. But today, after a good break, hurts even if I wasn't particularly expecting anything. 

[toon25]

That Everton loss was fucking galling for so many reasons.

[Paullow]

At least there's a bit of reality setting back in now. It was a hell of a run, but a lot of the fixtures were bread and butter matches, and I think all bar Southampton (and that was pretty close) were bottom half sides. Game changed massively in our favour vs Brentford early on, Brighton haven't won for years. It would almost have been unjust if we had finished in the top half, and would probably have papered over a few cracks, but hopefully it's abundantly clear to the owners that significant investment is needed for the XI, and yeah, it will be great just to get the season over and done with.

 

There's a lot of players who have done well over the past couple of months who do still deserve their place in the squad next season, but maybe not so much in the first team.

[nufc123]

Still major gaps all over the field striker, midfield, wide. For all the Joelinton and Fraser revival its not the answer going forward. 

[Awaymag]

I think its clear to all, we are a mid lower to bottom 4 team at the moment - the 9 unbeaten run papered over the cracks somewhat.  As many have said, we need to rebuild but please do not renew current players on the 9 game unbeaten.

 

Howe needs to decide what his midfield is going to be.   I thought he might have brought on Gayle for 30 mins as the game was as good as lost.   Wood - sorry mate but unless we play to his strengths then he is not worth a place in the team.