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  On 16/11/2022 at 23:09, Inferior Acuña said:

Moyes used to have these seasons at Everton I'm sure, where they'd go from pushing for the CL one season to hovering not far above the relegation the next, then back up again.

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I've never really liked Moyes' way of playing the game, he does favour direct Pardewish football, albeit he's much better at it. Loving seeing them struggle this season, especially as they would have been seen as competitors for Europe at the start of the season.

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Chart shows how, based on strength of opposition, plus home and away variation, I reckoned (in June) a top ten kind of season progresses. No great surprise that we’re 7 points ahead of where we would have needed to be! This means 30% ahead, keep going at anything like this rate and it will be a 70+ points season. 

 

DDC81229-DED9-415A-8E2F-977C6CF75A65.png.bd1bee7a88ba367924ad69cb3dd1d2f4.png

 

 

Edited by Coffee_Johnny

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  On 21/12/2022 at 12:44, Coffee_Johnny said:

Chart shows how, based on strength of opposition, plus home and away variation, I reckoned (in June) a top ten kind of season progresses. No great surprise that we’re 7 points ahead of where we would have needed to be! This means 30% ahead, keep going at anything like this rate and it will be a 70+ points season. 

 

DDC81229-DED9-415A-8E2F-977C6CF75A65.png.bd1bee7a88ba367924ad69cb3dd1d2f4.png

 

 

 

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7th would be a pretty big disappointment, at this point.

 

Looking at the last few seasons, the magic number of points for a top four finish fluctuates quite a bit year to year. 4th places finisher the last ten years has been

 

71

67

66

71

75

76

66

70

79

73

 

Anything in the 70s and we're gonna have a real shot.

 

40 points from the next 23 games would get us to 70. That's a bit of a drop off from our 2 points per game pace that we're on, still not easy but doable!

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  On 21/12/2022 at 18:46, Shak said:

 

7th would be a pretty big disappointment, at this point.

 

Looking at the last few seasons, the magic number of points for a top four finish fluctuates quite a bit year to year. 4th places finisher the last ten years has been

 

71

67

66

71

75

76

66

70

79

73

 

Anything in the 70s and we're gonna have a real shot.

 

40 points from the next 23 games would get us to 70. That's a bit of a drop off from our 2 points per game pace that we're on, still not easy but doable!

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The average/mean points per game for 4th place, over the last 28 seasons of Premier League, is 1.80. Median 1.79, mode (most usual) 1.76. Highest 2.08 (2013-14) lowest 1.58 (2003-4).

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