The Relegationometer™ (2023/24)

[Ketsbaia]

Still think the Burnley win was the worst scenario of the three, as I can definitely see them getting 10+ points from their final 9 games - a nice set too.

 

It would be glorious if Everton went down but do we really trust Man United and Leicester (x2), for example, to not be twats here?

[andyc35i]

We should be going into the next four with no fear, they’re all winnable games 

[gdm]

We will pick up points. Even when we weren’t winning we were drawing games and picking up points. Reckon we will win at least 1 and draw 2 of the last 8 

 

 

Edited April 6, 2022 by gdm

[Slim]

24 minutes ago, black_n_white said:

If we play like we have done for last couple games you can still consider us in danger. Fridays game feels more important now that we don’t lose again.

You do remember we should have beat Chelsea and played amazingly.

 

 

Edited April 6, 2022 by Slim

[black_n_white]

It’s not n realistic to think Everton might get 10 points from the remaking fixtures which puts them on 35. 5 more points is all we need

[nufc123]

4 minutes ago, Ketsbaia said:

Still think the Burnley win was the worst scenario of the three, as I can definitely see them getting 10+ points from their final 9 games - a nice set too.

 

It would be glorious if Everton went down but do we really trust Man United and Leicester (x2), for example, to not be twats here?

Good thing we have Leicester to play then.

[ponsaelius]

If Burnley had lost tonight we probably only needed 3 points to stay up. Now it's more like 6-7 imo. 

[Fantail Breeze]

11 minutes ago, Ketsbaia said:

Still think the Burnley win was the worst scenario of the three, as I can definitely see them getting 10+ points from their final 9 games - a nice set too.

 

It would be glorious if Everton went down but do we really trust Man United and Leicester (x2), for example, to not be twats here?

 

Even if they do pick up points, another two of Leeds (2+), Burnley (7+) and Watford (9+) also need to pick up more points than us.

 

It’s just not going to happen. Even with tonight’s win, Burnley would need to get 50% of their points from their first 29 games, in 9 games to overhaul us.

 

One win and a draw and it’s almost guaranteed. Three of those teams won’t reach 35 points.

 

 

Edited April 6, 2022 by Fantail Breeze

[Thumbheed]

26 minutes ago, HaydnNUFC said:

 

They're fucked I think if they drop yeah. Already in FFP shit, have very few sellable assets and have shit players on big contracts and high wages that no one will want. Then they've got the stadium stuff going on as well. Absolutely knackered if they drop, definitely the worse run club in the league by far.

Aye that's exactly my read on it too.

 

Won't even be able to get a decent manager in after they've binned off Lampard either. 

[Kid Icarus]

I get the worry about Burnley, but the result also meant Everton losing and if Burnley go on a decent run, Everton also need to go on one that makes up 6 points on us, with Leeds also having a semi-decent run for us to be in danger. Honestly think another 3 points will be enough now. 

[The Prophet]

A Burnley win is the least desirable result, but we'll still be fine. Fingers crossed we put it to bed on Friday.

[HaydnNUFC]

2 minutes ago, Fantail Breeze said:

 

Even if they do pick up points, another two of Leeds (2+), Burnley (7+) and Watford (22+) also need to pick up more points than us.

 

It’s just not going to happen. Even with tonight’s win, Burnley would need to get 50% of their points from their first 29 games, in 9 games to overhaul us.

 

One win and a draw and it’s almost guaranteed. Three of those teams won’t reach 35 points.

 

Bit of kneejerking going on. We've played 6 of our last 7 matches away from home, three of them sides currently in the top 6 and taken 10 points. Everton defeat was a game we never should've lost and the goal came in the 99th minute. 

 

We just need 4 points to guarantee it, I think we'll get 6 from the next 4. At least.

[Paullow]

We're in at 14/1 to go down at 4 bookies at the moment - still a healthy position, but a lot different to what it was only 3 games ago when it was in and around 100/1. Burnley are generally 5/6, Everton 6/5.

 

It will come in further if we lose to Wolves on Friday.

 

[et tu brute]

23 minutes ago, ponsaelius said:

If Burnley had lost tonight we probably only needed 3 points to stay up. Now it's more like 6-7 imo. 

Burnley are not going to get 13 or 14 points in their remaining games. 

[The Prophet]

We probably need another 4-5 points. If we don't manage that we deserve to be in bother. 

 

I'll be suprised if we're not safe by the time we play Liverpool.

 

 

[Karjala]

4 more points will do it, though I'm really not sure we'll get them over the next 3 games, and if we don't then it'll be worrying again.

[GWN]

We never do it easy 

[Ben]

Man U players have checked out, they have no reason to impress the current manager and a fair few of them could be leaving in the summer, I could easily see Everton and Burnley winning this weekend and Wolves sneaking a 0-1 against us.

[nufcnick]

29 minutes ago, Ben said:

Man U players have checked out, they have no reason to impress the current manager and a fair few of them could be leaving in the summer, I could easily see Everton and Burnley winning this weekend and Wolves sneaking a 0-1 against us.

That’s my fear this weekend, we’re absolutely toothless and currently can’t defend to save our lives 

[Guest]

10 minutes ago, nufcnick said:

That’s my fear this weekend, we’re absolutely toothless and currently can’t defend to save our lives 

Sunday was the only game we’d conceded more than once in a game since Christmas or something daft. Wolves are good but we’re not playing Kane & Son.

[nufcnick]

1 minute ago, Optimistic Nut said:

Sunday was the only game we’d conceded more than once in a game since Christmas or something daft. Wolves are good but we’re not playing Kane & Son.

I hope your right, but I really don’t see where our next point is coming from 

[GWN]

Just now, nufcnick said:

I hope your right, but I really don’t see where our next point is coming from 

Wolves, all 3 of them 

[nufcnick]

5 minutes ago, GWN said:

Wolves, all 3 of them 

Wish I had your confidence 

[GWN]

1 minute ago, nufcnick said:

Wish I had your confidence 

 

Mate there is no need to think we at least can’t get a point , have faith .

[Lush Vlad]

I don’t think it is done and dusted just yet. But I’m also not overly concerned. Despite last night’s result and our recent form.
 

Burnley have barely won all season and just scraped past an awful Everton side at home. Everton look shot to bits and have an awful run of games.
 

Watford still have to pick up a lot of points to get out of it and are Leeds guaranteed to keep up their recent results and stay out of it?
 

It’s basically two really bad halves of football in the last what, 12 games? That have cost us. I know we didn’t get the points, so it is kind of irrelevant. But if we held on for a few more minutes against Chelsea and Everton. We wouldn’t be in such a flap and both would be viewed as good and acceptable results. 
 

That looks ridiculous reading that last bit back  I suppose what I’m getting at, is how fine the margins are at times. I don’t think we have suddenly become really shit and we’re back to Bruceball. 
 

Get hammered tomorrow and then fail to get any points in the 3 games after that. Then I would be worried. As we do have a shit run in to end the season. 
 

I can’t see us not getting 4-5 points from the remaining 8 games.