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Relegationometer  

332 members have voted

  1. 1. We going down then or what? 10 - aye, doomed, no hope of salvation / 5 - can't call it / 0 - nah we're sound, can't wait for next season

    • 0
      20
    • 1
      19
    • 2
      16
    • 3
      18
    • 4
      20
    • 5
      27
    • 6
      22
    • 7
      17
    • 8
      37
    • 9
      25
    • 10
      35


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3 for me. We’re in good form compared to the others down there.

 

:thup:

 

West Brom are gone. Soton have 1 win in 17 (apparently cba to check) and Stoke have horrific fixtures. I think even one more win for us could be enough :lol:

 

 

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4. Win our next match and it’s a 2 and almost job done. Could see us going on a tidy run and finish comfortable.

 

Could also see us blowing our next game heaping daft amounts of pressure on ourselves.

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If a rating of 5 is 50/50 to go down, it's got to be less than that now, since we have a 4 point gap to Soton, if Stoke lose tomorrow, we'll be 5 points clear with a much better GD. So got to be at worst a 4, beat Huddersfield and we may well be looking up rather than down for the remainder, if other results fall our way.

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Feeling a lot more confident of staying up after Saturday's win. Such a vital win.

 

Still work to do of course, but if you'd offered us, at start of season: 5 points clear, with a relatively strong GD (with 8 games to go), I think most would've taken that.

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If City win tonight I'd be fairly confident that our relegation worries are over. We're picking up points regularly enough that a 5 point gap with 8 games left should be enough to stay above the teams in the bottom 3.

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2 for me. FiveThirtyEight has us at 5% and the bookies odds are lengthening, so 2 is sufficiently pessimistic for now.

 

It'll go back up if Huddersfield beat us, but lets see if that happens first and not assume the worst.

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Being absolutely pessimistic here, say we lose all three games against the top 6 clubs we have remaining and average 1 point per game from the games, that's a return of 5 points from 8 games, well below our current ppg. That would leave us on 37 points, not sure at least 2 of Stoke, Soton or Palace can take 10 points from 8 and overhaul the GD on us.

 

Funny how things change, a few weeks back it looked like you would need at least 40 points this season, now it may be as low as 35.

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It's because people make the link that the more teams involved at the bottom and/or the better the teams are means that you'll need a higher points total to stay up, which isn't necessarily the case.  There are only so many points to go around and so many teams involved that at least a few of them will fuck up and only pick a few points up between now and the end of the season.

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Got us 12th with 38pts. As long as the big 6 do what is expected of them then the bottom 8 all have pretty tough run ins.

 

Wham too the last spot on gd with 35pts. So 2 wins will do it.

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It's because people make the link that the more teams involved at the bottom and/or the better the teams are means that you'll need a higher points total to stay up, which isn't necessarily the case.  There are only so many points to go around and so many teams involved that at least a few of them will f*** up and only pick a few points up between now and the end of the season.

 

:thup:

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Just put 1-0 / 0-1 for win and 0-0 for draws

 

http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-premier-league/)/

 

ps5vDWC.png

 

Man, I really want West Ham to get relegated :(

 

Still a bit crazy to me to think where we'd be with a bit of luck in the injury department (Lascelles earlier in season) and a few bounces/decisions going our way (Bournemouth home) and closing out a few of those late 85-ish minute games.

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Just put 1-0 / 0-1 for win and 0-0 for draws

 

http://www.worldfootball.net/table_calculator/eng-premier-league/)/

 

ps5vDWC.png

 

Man, I really want West Ham to get relegated :(

Could well do, they've got the 2 Manchester clubs and Chelsea to play, and since you've done just 1-0/0-1/0-0 for results, it doesn't take into account the potential drubbings they could get which could have a huge impact on their GD.
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